1 00:00:00,149 --> 00:00:03,540 we've seen in the world there have been 2 00:00:01,319 --> 00:00:06,060 ten point two million cases and 3 00:00:03,540 --> 00:00:08,400 confirmed by testing and half a million 4 00:00:06,060 --> 00:00:11,429 deaths in the UK we've had three hundred 5 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:13,170 eleven thousand confirmed cases by 6 00:00:11,429 --> 00:00:15,059 testing and as we've said before perhaps 7 00:00:13,170 --> 00:00:16,920 seven percent of the population only 8 00:00:15,059 --> 00:00:18,480 have been affected and we know that's 9 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,920 forty three and a half thousand 10 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,199 confirmed deaths across all settings 11 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:25,109 according to official statistics but by 12 00:00:22,199 --> 00:00:26,730 excess mortality well in excess of sixty 13 00:00:25,109 --> 00:00:29,070 five thousand that we don't have precise 14 00:00:26,730 --> 00:00:30,720 figures day by day sometimes we see 15 00:00:29,070 --> 00:00:32,610 quite low figures for the number of 16 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:35,190 infections but looking week on week 17 00:00:32,610 --> 00:00:39,000 really it's remaining very static George 18 00:00:35,190 --> 00:00:42,420 hands Klug the European director of the 19 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:45,510 World Health Organization has warned 20 00:00:42,420 --> 00:00:47,579 this week of increasing outbreaks across 21 00:00:45,510 --> 00:00:50,430 many countries and settings including 22 00:00:47,579 --> 00:00:52,500 Sweden Spain Germany as we discussed 23 00:00:50,430 --> 00:00:55,860 last week which has an increase in its 24 00:00:52,500 --> 00:00:58,440 our rate up to 2.8 and that was just 25 00:00:55,860 --> 00:01:00,570 associated with a few local outbreaks 26 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:03,600 what we're still not doing well in this 27 00:01:00,570 --> 00:01:04,799 country is testing and tracing and as a 28 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:08,729 result of that really we're seeing a 29 00:01:04,799 --> 00:01:11,369 static number of of deaths currently and 30 00:01:08,729 --> 00:01:14,420 as you say lifting of the lockdown 31 00:01:11,369 --> 00:01:16,799 implies that in after the the usual 32 00:01:14,420 --> 00:01:18,900 observed lag of two to three weeks 33 00:01:16,799 --> 00:01:20,520 we're very likely to see significantly 34 00:01:18,900 --> 00:01:22,140 increased numbers again middle you know 35 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:23,729 if you just look at this week we've had 36 00:01:22,140 --> 00:01:25,799 close to thousand deaths and that's 37 00:01:23,729 --> 00:01:29,040 likely to go up because there as you 38 00:01:25,799 --> 00:01:31,020 know they they registered late and the 39 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:33,030 numbers are always revised upward so 40 00:01:31,020 --> 00:01:35,430 really we're not seeing decreasing 41 00:01:33,030 --> 00:01:38,130 numbers and if you look at that the the 42 00:01:35,430 --> 00:01:40,380 rate of infection is around static in 43 00:01:38,130 --> 00:01:42,270 most areas of the country so it's a 44 00:01:40,380 --> 00:01:43,800 problem at the moment that simply isn't 45 00:01:42,270 --> 00:01:46,909 going away George 46 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,909 [Music]