1 00:00:10,559 --> 00:00:15,040 now the 2 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:17,520 al-qaeda target the original al-qaeda 3 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:21,119 target is of course no longer in 4 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:23,680 afghanistan it's in syria but this time 5 00:00:21,119 --> 00:00:26,000 it's working with the americans there 6 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:28,560 was a flicker of al-qaeda you'll recall 7 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:30,800 the u.s defense secretary said some six 8 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:33,600 months ago maybe nine months ago in 9 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:36,480 syria that flicker has become a flame 10 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:38,000 it's quite clear from the modus operandi 11 00:00:36,480 --> 00:00:40,160 of the 12 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:42,399 fighters that are 13 00:00:40,160 --> 00:00:44,160 combating the syrian regime 14 00:00:42,399 --> 00:00:45,760 it's quite clear from their rhetoric 15 00:00:44,160 --> 00:00:48,239 it's quite clear from the 16 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:51,840 chatter on their websites and so on 17 00:00:48,239 --> 00:00:54,239 that just about every jihadist 18 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:56,800 of the al-qaeda ilk 19 00:00:54,239 --> 00:01:00,399 is now taking the road to damascus and 20 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:02,960 not to convert to democracy one presumes 21 00:01:00,399 --> 00:01:05,199 no they're coming in because it's a shia 22 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:07,840 regime the the regime of 23 00:01:05,199 --> 00:01:11,280 bashar al-assad is alawite which is a 24 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:13,920 group partly from the shia religion and 25 00:01:11,280 --> 00:01:16,159 these people are fanatically anti-shia 26 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,920 they think that they are complete 27 00:01:16,159 --> 00:01:19,680 infidels basically and we're seeing the 28 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:21,520 same kind of killing they want to 29 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:23,520 continue doing that they did in iraq 30 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,840 five or six years ago when 31 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:27,840 when that was the 32 00:01:24,840 --> 00:01:29,920 target these people didn't read 33 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:32,560 frankenstein to the end 34 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:34,720 because once you've created the monster 35 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:36,560 of course because it's a monster it by 36 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,680 definition is no longer under your 37 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:40,479 control 38 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:43,840 and the monster they created to fight 39 00:01:40,479 --> 00:01:45,840 the red army in afghanistan became 40 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:49,280 the authors of the 41 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:51,600 disaster the massacre on 9 11. 42 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:53,520 is there no sense of 43 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:55,360 trepidation in washington amongst 44 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:57,360 policymakers in the state department and 45 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:59,280 so on about the new monster that there 46 00:01:57,360 --> 00:02:00,719 is i think there is which is why people 47 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:02,479 like james clapper the director of 48 00:02:00,719 --> 00:02:04,399 national intelligence did go before a 49 00:02:02,479 --> 00:02:06,079 congressional committee and become 50 00:02:04,399 --> 00:02:08,800 really the first top official in the 51 00:02:06,079 --> 00:02:10,239 west to say al-qaeda is moving to syria 52 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,920 up to then it had been a secret that 53 00:02:10,239 --> 00:02:14,000 nobody dared mention because everybody's 54 00:02:11,920 --> 00:02:15,920 saying these people are unarmed freedom 55 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:18,080 fighters you know against this vicious 56 00:02:15,920 --> 00:02:19,760 regime in damascus and so on and when 57 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:22,160 the evidence began to emerge that al 58 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:24,080 qaeda was there nobody wanted to say 59 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:25,680 anything about it and clapper was the 60 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:26,959 first to say that and i think he's 61 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:29,120 worried but 62 00:02:26,959 --> 00:02:30,959 the point is as so often the united 63 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:32,640 states has a divided 64 00:02:30,959 --> 00:02:34,239 administration they're different voices 65 00:02:32,640 --> 00:02:36,480 some more hawkish than others some more 66 00:02:34,239 --> 00:02:37,760 neocon than others and 67 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:40,080 i think you get people like hillary 68 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:41,920 clinton who are very keen on toppling 69 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:43,680 president assad because they think he's 70 00:02:41,920 --> 00:02:45,360 a tyrant and so on and they feel he's 71 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:47,200 lost his usefulness to them in the 72 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:48,640 middle east and then you've got these 73 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:50,400 people in the national intelligence a 74 00:02:48,640 --> 00:02:52,400 little bit more worried and so on 75 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:54,239 and uh and then you've got qatar and 76 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,680 saudi arabia the big allies of the 77 00:02:54,239 --> 00:02:57,440 united states who are pushing really 78 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:59,840 hard and the u.s doesn't want to get 79 00:02:57,440 --> 00:03:02,000 into an argument with them and so it's 80 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:04,080 leading from behind as they did in libya 81 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:06,319 but basically supporting it and 82 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,920 supplying some information not only 83 00:03:06,319 --> 00:03:10,000 information but information gathering 84 00:03:07,920 --> 00:03:12,000 equipment satellite communications and 85 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:14,319 all the rest of it across the border uh 86 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:16,319 from turkey obviously a nato state uh 87 00:03:14,319 --> 00:03:18,080 helping the helping the the the 88 00:03:16,319 --> 00:03:20,080 militants and the new york times this 89 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,599 week seem to indicate that all of that's 90 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:24,319 going to be stepped up 91 00:03:21,599 --> 00:03:26,480 the u.s spokesman quoted memorably i 92 00:03:24,319 --> 00:03:29,840 think we're going for a controlled 93 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:31,599 demolition of the assad regime 94 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,480 quoted in the new york times but of 95 00:03:31,599 --> 00:03:35,760 course 96 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:37,680 controlled demolitions can go wrong 97 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:39,360 and i'm wondering if in london for 98 00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,959 example hague who's never off the 99 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:43,280 airwaves 100 00:03:40,959 --> 00:03:44,400 threatening syria with somebody else's 101 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,959 army 102 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:48,400 in the way that mussolini used to do 103 00:03:46,959 --> 00:03:50,480 um 104 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:52,640 is uh in the foreign policy 105 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:55,120 establishment here no worries of a 106 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:57,519 reprise of the afghan experience 107 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:58,400 well i think there is is some concern 108 00:03:57,519 --> 00:04:00,720 but 109 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:02,319 you know they don't have the ultimate 110 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:04,560 decision-making power you know it's 111 00:04:02,319 --> 00:04:05,760 obviously washington that decides and 112 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:08,480 britain goes along with whatever 113 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:10,159 washington does but i mean i think the 114 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:13,040 real hypocrisy of it is that they 115 00:04:10,159 --> 00:04:16,000 support the anand plan they say which 116 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:17,840 calls for ceasefire political transition 117 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:20,239 you know democratic uh 118 00:04:17,840 --> 00:04:22,160 solution and dialogue and so on and 119 00:04:20,239 --> 00:04:23,919 instead of that they are totally 120 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:25,600 one-sided the west they're completely 121 00:04:23,919 --> 00:04:27,360 anti-the government of syria they're 122 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,960 completely in favor of the rebels 123 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:31,120 harming them as i've already mentioned 124 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:32,960 with so-called non-lethal equipment 125 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:35,360 backing the supplies of real lethal 126 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:37,040 equipment by qatar saudi arabia and 127 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:38,800 turkey and 128 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:41,040 and yet they say they support a 129 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:43,680 political solution it's nonsense it is 130 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:45,680 nonsense and it surprises me uh because 131 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:48,240 actually the anand plan 132 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:51,040 gave these people much of what they 133 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:53,280 claim at least to have wanted a 134 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:54,560 political transition democratic 135 00:04:53,280 --> 00:04:56,880 elections 136 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:59,199 the end of one party rule and so on all 137 00:04:56,880 --> 00:05:02,639 of which i am in favor of in syria and 138 00:04:59,199 --> 00:05:03,680 everywhere myself as indeed of course 139 00:05:02,639 --> 00:05:07,840 are you 140 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:10,000 however people like us who oppose uh the 141 00:05:07,840 --> 00:05:12,080 al-qaeda 142 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:14,960 insurrection in syria the foreign 143 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:15,840 intervention in syria are characterized 144 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:20,320 as 145 00:05:15,840 --> 00:05:22,960 friends of the bashar al-assad regime 146 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:25,440 and i just find that very very difficult 147 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:28,000 not least because actually all of my 148 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:30,960 political life i was against the 149 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:33,120 assad regime but i'm even more against 150 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,479 foreign intervention in other people's 151 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,919 countries 152 00:05:34,479 --> 00:05:37,919 what's going to happen in syria how is 153 00:05:35,919 --> 00:05:39,520 this going to end i think it's kind of 154 00:05:37,919 --> 00:05:41,360 far far worse before it gets better 155 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:44,000 because i think the political solution 156 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:46,160 is out of the window the west is pushing 157 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:47,680 war it's regime change by civil war 158 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:49,280 that's what they're doing and if the 159 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,400 worst comes to the worst they may even 160 00:05:49,280 --> 00:05:52,400 use 161 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:54,560 nato intervention like in libya after 162 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:56,400 the november u.s presidential election 163 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:58,639 whoever wins i think there's a real 164 00:05:56,400 --> 00:06:00,320 danger of the libyan style nato 165 00:05:58,639 --> 00:06:04,080 intervention even in defiance of the 166 00:06:00,320 --> 00:06:05,680 security council yes yes even if and as 167 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:07,840 long as if assad is still there by 168 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:09,280 november this year which is still 169 00:06:07,840 --> 00:06:11,360 obviously an open question i mean the 170 00:06:09,280 --> 00:06:13,600 tragedy is that that there are people in 171 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:15,360 syria in fact there was a conference 172 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:17,840 this week at the the convent of 173 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:20,400 sanegidio in rome which is a well-known 174 00:06:17,840 --> 00:06:23,600 mediation center of various civil 175 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:25,600 society groups from syria who want 176 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:27,840 political solutions who said no to 177 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,520 violence they said please to the free 178 00:06:27,840 --> 00:06:32,160 syrian army put down their guns and 179 00:06:29,520 --> 00:06:34,960 negotiate but their voice is not heard 180 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:36,240 they're branded as toadies and stooges 181 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:38,319 of the regime 182 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:40,479 even though they are genuine independent 183 00:06:38,319 --> 00:06:43,039 democrats who see the danger of civil 184 00:06:40,479 --> 00:06:45,199 war but the syrian regime is not weak it 185 00:06:43,039 --> 00:06:47,039 will fight back and it has powerful 186 00:06:45,199 --> 00:06:50,479 friends i mean what would the attitude 187 00:06:47,039 --> 00:06:53,680 of russia for example be to a nato war 188 00:06:50,479 --> 00:06:55,440 on an allied country after the security 189 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:57,440 council has ruled one out they would be 190 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:59,599 completely furious but i don't think 191 00:06:57,440 --> 00:07:01,680 they would intervene against it they 192 00:06:59,599 --> 00:07:02,479 would just denounce it and and they 193 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,639 would 194 00:07:02,479 --> 00:07:06,880 they would rightly use it around the 195 00:07:04,639 --> 00:07:09,199 world to say look we keep saying that 196 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,720 this is not a unipolar world anymore it 197 00:07:09,199 --> 00:07:12,319 isn't just one country of the united 198 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:14,160 states and its allies that control the 199 00:07:12,319 --> 00:07:15,840 world there are other centers of power 200 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:17,440 and that is why we support international 201 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:19,840 law the united nations that's why we 202 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:23,360 won't support a resolution demanding the 203 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:25,280 use of force in syria and uh if the nato 204 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:27,120 people are foolish enough to go down the 205 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,960 path of military intervention 206 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:31,440 they will only blacken their name even 207 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:33,759 further around the world and sharpen the 208 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:36,560 contradiction between the emerging 209 00:07:33,759 --> 00:07:38,080 powers especially china and russia and 210 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:39,440 the west 211 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:40,639 pretending 212 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:42,800 you're called 213 00:07:40,639 --> 00:07:45,120 india yes all these other countries that 214 00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:47,680 don't want any more this unilateral 215 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:47,680 intervention