1 00:00:02,660 --> 00:00:06,669 [Music] 2 00:00:08,910 --> 00:00:11,960 [Music] 3 00:00:12,759 --> 00:00:17,879 okay three I 4 00:00:19,810 --> 00:00:33,429 [Music] 5 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:41,160 welcome to Sputnik orbiting the world 6 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:43,680 with me George Galloway and me gri the 7 00:00:41,160 --> 00:00:46,079 president is dead well not quite yet but 8 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:48,039 not for the want of trying long live the 9 00:00:46,079 --> 00:00:51,079 president it's becoming quite a habit 10 00:00:48,039 --> 00:00:53,359 first in the Ukraine and now in Egypt 11 00:00:51,079 --> 00:00:56,359 president Muhammad mury barely got a 12 00:00:53,359 --> 00:00:59,079 year with which to apply his Democratic 13 00:00:56,359 --> 00:01:01,280 mandate before a military coup hiding 14 00:00:59,079 --> 00:01:04,159 behind genuine popular grievances 15 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:06,439 overthrew him although General CeCe will 16 00:01:04,159 --> 00:01:08,680 now be called the president he'll always 17 00:01:06,439 --> 00:01:11,159 be the general to me and to most 18 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:14,520 Egyptians who boycotted his neither free 19 00:01:11,159 --> 00:01:17,280 nor fair election in which he won I 20 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:21,280 suppose we could put that in quotes over 21 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:23,320 90% of the vote election or no election 22 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:26,040 General CCE had already been ruling the 23 00:01:23,320 --> 00:01:28,880 country as the head of a military jenta 24 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:31,000 for nearly a year whilst mory's Year of 25 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:33,560 Living Dangerously in cairo's 26 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:36,240 presidential Palace was hardly a great 27 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:38,320 economic or political success he surely 28 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:40,079 doesn't deserve to be behind bars 29 00:01:38,320 --> 00:01:43,079 accused of being the head of a terrorist 30 00:01:40,079 --> 00:01:45,960 organization and of such unusual crimes 31 00:01:43,079 --> 00:01:48,320 for an Arab president of collaborating 32 00:01:45,960 --> 00:01:50,439 with the Palestinian resistance and what 33 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:52,399 message does it send to islamist 34 00:01:50,439 --> 00:01:54,439 organizations that they can fight 35 00:01:52,399 --> 00:01:56,799 Democratic elections they can even win 36 00:01:54,439 --> 00:01:59,039 them but they will never be permitted to 37 00:01:56,799 --> 00:02:01,600 rule at least Through The Ballot Box 38 00:01:59,039 --> 00:02:03,520 joining us now to discuss the crisis in 39 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:06,200 Egypt is one of the Muslim world's most 40 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:08,640 important and most eloquent analysts 41 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:12,560 he's the head of the Cordoba Foundation 42 00:02:08,640 --> 00:02:16,800 Dr anas alrti Dr anas thanks for joining 43 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:20,160 us it's farsal isn't it over 90% of the 44 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:23,200 vote but the most telling uh uh 45 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:25,680 circumstance is surely the huge numbers 46 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:27,000 of people who didn't vote at all well 47 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:28,879 George thank you very much for having me 48 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,760 on and uh you're absolutely right the 49 00:02:28,879 --> 00:02:32,519 questions that you ask are absolutely 50 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,760 spot- on I mean the the fact of the 51 00:02:32,519 --> 00:02:38,040 matter is that we're back to the bad old 52 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:41,159 days we're back to the 90% plus uh free 53 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:43,519 and fair votes um but as you rightly put 54 00:02:41,159 --> 00:02:47,159 it the the actual story that is be even 55 00:02:43,519 --> 00:02:49,360 being reported by the official uh media 56 00:02:47,159 --> 00:02:52,319 outlets and broadcasters is a fact that 57 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:54,239 no one turned up uh to the extent that 58 00:02:52,319 --> 00:02:56,800 um the reuter correspondent yesterday 59 00:02:54,239 --> 00:02:59,239 was reporting from three main um 60 00:02:56,800 --> 00:03:00,239 election posts and throughout those the 61 00:02:59,239 --> 00:03:01,680 three hours through three and a half 62 00:03:00,239 --> 00:03:04,120 hours that they were reporting tweeting 63 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,840 throughout only one person turned out 64 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:08,400 and this by the way was after the 65 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:10,480 government had extended extended the 66 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:12,319 elections for the third day third day 67 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:14,920 they said because it had been too hot it 68 00:03:12,319 --> 00:03:17,080 been too hot and people were sort of 69 00:03:14,920 --> 00:03:18,519 busy celebrating the atmosphere of the 70 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:20,159 elections and therefore they were a 71 00:03:18,519 --> 00:03:23,640 little bit taken back and weren't ready 72 00:03:20,159 --> 00:03:25,560 to go out and actually vote so it's um 73 00:03:23,640 --> 00:03:27,400 it's nothing less than fical but then 74 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:30,280 again since the military coup 75 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:32,000 unfortunately we're back to how 76 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:34,599 the vast majority of the Arab world is 77 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:37,000 we're back to um the status quo we're 78 00:03:34,599 --> 00:03:39,120 back to how certain regimes particularly 79 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:42,560 in the Gulf would love for things to be 80 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:45,680 in Egypt and Beyond and the actual 81 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:48,080 president is in prison yep uh facing 82 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:50,560 what by any stretch of the imagination 83 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:53,439 are capital charges in other words he 84 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:56,920 might be executed was the dictator that 85 00:03:53,439 --> 00:04:00,920 the revolution overthrew is outside of 86 00:03:56,920 --> 00:04:03,680 jail and uh whilst The General says he's 87 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:06,360 the heir of President nasar he is in 88 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:09,239 fact the heir of President Mubarak no 89 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:12,920 true in fact if anything then even the 90 00:04:09,239 --> 00:04:15,599 official commentators um are all saying 91 00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:17,440 quite clearly that we are now back to 92 00:04:15,599 --> 00:04:19,040 times that are even worse in terms of 93 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:23,280 human rights in terms of freedoms in 94 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:25,960 terms of econ the economy everything uh 95 00:04:23,280 --> 00:04:29,199 back to even worse than how they were in 96 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:32,919 early 2011 before Mubarak was outed by 97 00:04:29,199 --> 00:04:34,560 the Egyptian Revolution so it's um it's 98 00:04:32,919 --> 00:04:36,960 it's a funny State of Affairs and to be 99 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:39,080 absolutely honest whilst this looking at 100 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:41,400 the the Arab world over the past Century 101 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:44,360 you'd see well this is sort of PA of 102 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:47,120 course but what is strange is how the 103 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:49,800 so-called Democratic world the West is 104 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:52,039 reacting to all this because whilst we 105 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:53,680 have seen in front of our eyes in front 106 00:04:52,039 --> 00:04:56,120 of you know hundreds of millions 107 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:58,720 billions in fact watching their screens 108 00:04:56,120 --> 00:05:01,440 as a military coup actually unfolded 109 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:02,720 minute by minute the west then and 110 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:05,039 particularly our government here in the 111 00:05:02,720 --> 00:05:07,120 UK chooses to actually look into and 112 00:05:05,039 --> 00:05:08,840 investigate the victims the Muslim 113 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:11,160 Brotherhood whilst the world world 114 00:05:08,840 --> 00:05:13,240 watches and does absolutely nothing it's 115 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:15,800 to be honest it's it's it's that that 116 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:20,240 really is is totally baffling speaking 117 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:21,960 of Human Rights the 700 people um for 118 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:24,319 death penalty that must be a joke yeah 119 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:26,039 they are not really going to be well 120 00:05:24,319 --> 00:05:30,280 I'll tell you what I mean the numbers 121 00:05:26,039 --> 00:05:32,880 are uh hilarious if not tragic uh on 122 00:05:30,280 --> 00:05:34,759 their own account but if you actually 123 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:37,520 knew the details of how this was passed 124 00:05:34,759 --> 00:05:41,160 it would become really you know beyond 125 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:44,160 funny um a court hearing that was for 126 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:46,479 less than 90 minutes uh precisely 86 127 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:49,759 minutes in which the judge managed to 128 00:05:46,479 --> 00:05:53,000 look through the case of 527 on one 129 00:05:49,759 --> 00:05:56,639 occasion then 638 on a second occasion 130 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:59,319 cases out of whom less than 15 people 131 00:05:56,639 --> 00:06:02,280 ever saw the inside of that Court most 132 00:05:59,319 --> 00:06:04,919 of and by the way amongst those sent 133 00:06:02,280 --> 00:06:07,880 sentenced to death were people who had 134 00:06:04,919 --> 00:06:10,479 already died one of them one of them by 135 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:14,880 the way was a Palestinian who had been 136 00:06:10,479 --> 00:06:17,360 mared by an Israeli uh missile more than 137 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:20,120 seven years ago he was he was declared a 138 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:22,400 terrorist who had perpetrated certain 139 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:24,479 crimes the other thing is that all these 140 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:27,759 people were condemned to death and 141 00:06:24,479 --> 00:06:29,319 condemned to hang because all of them 142 00:06:27,759 --> 00:06:31,960 had killed one policeman we're talking 143 00:06:29,319 --> 00:06:34,800 about unfortunately uh a part of the 144 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:36,680 world which uh nothing is independent 145 00:06:34,800 --> 00:06:39,680 the Judiciary is totally politicized the 146 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:41,360 political is totally securitized and 147 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:43,599 everything is absolutely corrupt and 148 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:48,000 therefore the media of course now media 149 00:06:43,599 --> 00:06:50,680 completely hegemonic 100% property as as 150 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:52,240 soon as within one hour I mean we can 151 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,280 talk about the shortcomings and the 152 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:57,599 failures of Mory all we want will 153 00:06:54,280 --> 00:07:00,639 however within the 11 month that he was 154 00:06:57,599 --> 00:07:02,560 in in rule not one single person was 155 00:07:00,639 --> 00:07:05,639 arrested for their views and their 156 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:08,240 opinions not one single Media Station 157 00:07:05,639 --> 00:07:10,360 was closed down or oppressed because 158 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:12,919 they were criticizing the president and 159 00:07:10,360 --> 00:07:16,520 they were throughout those 11 months 160 00:07:12,919 --> 00:07:18,639 within an hour of him being ousted 17 161 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:20,720 media stations were closed down more 162 00:07:18,639 --> 00:07:23,440 than 312 journalists and media 163 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:25,080 spokespeople were arrested and within a 164 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:27,720 matter of 3 months we had more than 165 00:07:25,080 --> 00:07:30,479 19,000 political prisoners it just tells 166 00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:35,639 you what kind of situation we indeed it 167 00:07:30,479 --> 00:07:40,199 it speaks uh volumes but we can't uh 168 00:07:35,639 --> 00:07:42,360 elide uh the shortcomings of uh mory's 169 00:07:40,199 --> 00:07:44,080 Administration it is a bit of a world 170 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,599 record all of this is world record 171 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:48,199 territory but it's a bit of a world 172 00:07:45,599 --> 00:07:51,400 record to have won an election and have 173 00:07:48,199 --> 00:07:53,199 so many people dislike you nothing like 174 00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:54,759 the Absurd figures that are claimed of 175 00:07:53,199 --> 00:07:58,039 course but clearly 176 00:07:54,759 --> 00:08:00,080 Millions uh dislike you so much that 177 00:07:58,039 --> 00:08:02,919 they're on the streets and creating the 178 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:05,240 cover for a military Jun to overthrow 179 00:08:02,919 --> 00:08:06,919 you I think that there are a number of 180 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:09,560 things to be said first of all the Arab 181 00:08:06,919 --> 00:08:12,800 Spring at the very height of it in early 182 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:14,639 2011 with the way in which the bin Ali 183 00:08:12,800 --> 00:08:15,919 regime in Tunisia fell and then the hus 184 00:08:14,639 --> 00:08:19,919 Mubarak regime 185 00:08:15,919 --> 00:08:22,080 fell that brought with it uh an 186 00:08:19,919 --> 00:08:24,720 incredible amount of Hope and aspiration 187 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:26,759 and maybe you know M and maybe you know 188 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:29,599 the naha in Tunisia maybe they were sort 189 00:08:26,759 --> 00:08:32,080 of victims to that kind of high level of 190 00:08:29,599 --> 00:08:34,080 aspiration and hopes people thought that 191 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:36,080 and they had the right to hope that you 192 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:37,519 know within a matter of days weeks maybe 193 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:39,560 maybe even a couple of months things 194 00:08:37,519 --> 00:08:42,800 would be sorted out so when it took a 195 00:08:39,560 --> 00:08:43,959 year or two years even and the problems 196 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:46,120 were still mounting and people were 197 00:08:43,959 --> 00:08:49,760 still finding it difficult on a daily 198 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:53,480 level of course people got quite anxious 199 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:55,040 but you can't really put aside the fact 200 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:58,720 that a country that had been riddled 201 00:08:55,040 --> 00:09:01,200 with corruption political military uh 202 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:03,959 economic on every single level for 203 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:05,720 decades you really realistically can't 204 00:09:03,959 --> 00:09:09,000 expect things to change within a matter 205 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:09,959 of 11 months with all you know the kind 206 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:14,279 of 207 00:09:09,959 --> 00:09:17,320 attempts some uh true some maybe for 208 00:09:14,279 --> 00:09:19,279 populist reasons to reach out to engage 209 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,880 we had the very first cop vice president 210 00:09:19,279 --> 00:09:22,959 in the history of Egypt we had the very 211 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:25,560 first vice president female in the 212 00:09:22,959 --> 00:09:27,640 history of Egypt we had the very first 213 00:09:25,560 --> 00:09:29,640 time that a president who had the chance 214 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:31,600 of appointing 52 members to the 215 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:33,760 consultative council from his own party 216 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:35,959 elected only to choose six whilst all 217 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:37,680 the others from all other parties but 218 00:09:35,959 --> 00:09:39,200 that was never good enough for the 219 00:09:37,680 --> 00:09:41,200 ideologues and you have to realize 220 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:43,839 George that all these changes happened 221 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:46,120 in Egypt and Tunisia all these things 222 00:09:43,839 --> 00:09:48,560 happened in a region where democracy 223 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:50,360 Freedom the true will of people is to be 224 00:09:48,560 --> 00:09:52,480 forbid is never to be spoken of I mean 225 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:54,040 when you have someone like Saudi Arabia 226 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:57,120 where the changes in egyp would totally 227 00:09:54,040 --> 00:10:00,720 undermine it totally totally see that 228 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:02,200 its own rule its own existence is you 229 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:04,079 know totally without any kind of 230 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:06,560 justification without any kind of 231 00:10:04,079 --> 00:10:08,000 credibility it it won't stay quiet 232 00:10:06,560 --> 00:10:10,279 whilst this goes on and people have 233 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:13,320 their spent billions to try and bring 234 00:10:10,279 --> 00:10:16,279 down uh president morsy no doubt now 235 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:18,760 General CeCe as I alluded earlier claims 236 00:10:16,279 --> 00:10:21,360 that he's uh the new nasar or some of 237 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:23,240 his supporters do but nasar's rule was 238 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:26,000 characterized by three things first of 239 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:28,920 all total support for the Palestinian 240 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:29,920 people and opposition to Israel General 241 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:32,519 Cece 242 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:34,920 couldn't be closer to Israel and is 243 00:10:32,519 --> 00:10:36,519 putting on trial president morsy for 244 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:40,200 collaborating with the Palestinian 245 00:10:36,519 --> 00:10:42,160 resistance number two uh president nassa 246 00:10:40,200 --> 00:10:45,560 tried to bring down the reactionary 247 00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:48,360 feudal monarchies in the Gulf General 248 00:10:45,560 --> 00:10:50,839 CeCe has received billions of dollars 249 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:53,079 from these very same reactionary feudal 250 00:10:50,839 --> 00:10:56,760 monarchies and of course president 251 00:10:53,079 --> 00:11:00,760 NASA's orientation was towards Moscow uh 252 00:10:56,760 --> 00:11:04,160 and uh General cces is C L uh towards 253 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:06,360 the United States which despite a few 254 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:09,079 words from President Obama and the media 255 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:11,519 aftermath of the coup uh continues to 256 00:11:09,079 --> 00:11:14,560 arm and finance absolutely uh the 257 00:11:11,519 --> 00:11:16,760 military Jun so where do we go from here 258 00:11:14,560 --> 00:11:18,240 well it's um I I think there are a 259 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,800 number of things that need to to happen 260 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:21,720 first of all inside Egypt the popular 261 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:24,320 Uprising is still ongoing every single 262 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:26,639 day there are protests in there dozens 263 00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:29,040 if not hundreds on some occasions and 264 00:11:26,639 --> 00:11:30,760 particularly in populated areas we are 265 00:11:29,040 --> 00:11:32,839 seeing thousands hit the street despite 266 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:35,120 the fact that every single one of those 267 00:11:32,839 --> 00:11:36,880 people who hit the streets will be 268 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:38,639 threatened in terms of their jobs their 269 00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:40,880 welfare their security and probably 270 00:11:38,639 --> 00:11:42,680 their lives um so we're still seeing 271 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:44,360 that and that to be honest is on the 272 00:11:42,680 --> 00:11:46,160 increase not on the fall as many 273 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:48,639 including myself expected a few months 274 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:50,639 ago the other thing that regionally we 275 00:11:48,639 --> 00:11:52,360 really have to see this idea this 276 00:11:50,639 --> 00:11:54,360 concept of the Arab Spring through and 277 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:56,360 to be honest we need to see more change 278 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:57,800 happening on the streets of areas that 279 00:11:56,360 --> 00:12:00,160 haven't directly been touched by the 280 00:11:57,800 --> 00:12:01,720 Arab Spring including Gulf States 281 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:03,880 including the I mean really we need to 282 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:06,320 see some real change take place because 283 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:09,200 it's been proven now through Egypt and 284 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:11,360 largely through Tunisia that any kind of 285 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:13,160 change whether it be elections or 286 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:16,480 Democratic revolutions or 287 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:18,120 whatever those with money will see to it 288 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:19,800 that those are undermined and scuppered 289 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:22,839 so we need change regionally and I think 290 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:25,199 that there are signs that s such changes 291 00:12:22,839 --> 00:12:27,120 is is taking place the third is we 292 00:12:25,199 --> 00:12:30,160 really need to work here in the West in 293 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:32,560 the UK across the world in terms of 294 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:34,360 really shaming these governments I mean 295 00:12:32,560 --> 00:12:36,560 the way I mean what you say is true 296 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:38,040 about Obama making certain protestations 297 00:12:36,560 --> 00:12:39,680 just out of embarrassment because it's 298 00:12:38,040 --> 00:12:41,320 it's been such an embarrassment in in 299 00:12:39,680 --> 00:12:43,519 Egypt the way that this whole thing has 300 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:45,480 happened but actually the support has 301 00:12:43,519 --> 00:12:48,079 been full and to be honest the only you 302 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:50,279 know the only thing that I put to people 303 00:12:48,079 --> 00:12:53,000 is that the fact that Netanyahu and lo 304 00:12:50,279 --> 00:12:54,880 and behold Tony Blair supported CC I 305 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:58,000 think tells us just about enough just 306 00:12:54,880 --> 00:13:00,839 about thank you very much Dr anas coming 307 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:02,839 up after the break looking at China fast 308 00:13:00,839 --> 00:13:05,399 becoming economically the most powerful 309 00:13:02,839 --> 00:13:07,639 country in the world and thus inevitably 310 00:13:05,399 --> 00:13:09,959 increasingly pillared by the Western 311 00:13:07,639 --> 00:13:12,680 political class and their media Echo 312 00:13:09,959 --> 00:13:16,279 chamber whose hegemony China threatens 313 00:13:12,680 --> 00:13:16,279 we'll be right back 314 00:13:16,380 --> 00:13:26,619 [Music] 315 00:13:29,180 --> 00:13:33,600 [Music] 316 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:35,760 welcome back to Sputnik Jude Woodward 317 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:37,639 knows more about China than almost 318 00:13:35,760 --> 00:13:39,760 anybody else in this country she 319 00:13:37,639 --> 00:13:41,720 frequently lectures there and is the 320 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:44,360 author of a forthcoming and much 321 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:46,639 anticipated book on the subject formerly 322 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:49,120 she was a very senior official in mayor 323 00:13:46,639 --> 00:13:52,519 Ken Livingston's London Administration 324 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:55,720 and I'm glad to say she joins us now 325 00:13:52,519 --> 00:13:58,560 Jude I was in a session at the haon Y 326 00:13:55,720 --> 00:14:00,720 Festival last weekend uh where a 327 00:13:58,560 --> 00:14:02,839 collection of so-called China experts 328 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:05,759 some of whom have done rather well uh 329 00:14:02,839 --> 00:14:08,959 out of China uh not only didn't have 330 00:14:05,759 --> 00:14:13,480 very many good things to see about China 331 00:14:08,959 --> 00:14:17,800 but we very clearly getting into battle 332 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:20,160 mode uh all sorts of issues were raised 333 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:22,800 uh but one of the China experts rather 334 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:24,680 boldly predicted that China was going to 335 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:29,120 collapse is 336 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:31,560 it well uh there is a whole industry in 337 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:34,040 say China's economy is about to collapse 338 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:36,360 um the uh economists famously ran a 339 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:40,600 front page Dragon about to run out of 340 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:42,680 puff in 2002 so this has been the 341 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:45,199 prediction year on year you have a 342 00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:48,600 ridiculous sort of approach that China's 343 00:14:45,199 --> 00:14:50,720 economy is slowing which indeed it has 344 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:53,959 somewhat from its fastest rates of 345 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:57,839 growth but last year it grew at 7.7% I 346 00:14:53,959 --> 00:15:02,000 think um they're anticipating 7.5 to 347 00:14:57,839 --> 00:15:04,600 7.7% this year that is slower than eight 348 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:06,360 or nine or indeed 10% but the last 349 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,880 quarter's growth in the United States 350 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:11,360 was not 351 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:14,560 .1% so who is slowing who has got a 352 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:17,240 problem who's running out of BU yes but 353 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:19,160 it's uh it it's predicted or it's 354 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:22,480 predicated I should say these 355 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:25,639 predictions on a belief that uh that 356 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:28,519 nothing can be that successful for uh 357 00:15:25,639 --> 00:15:31,759 for such a long time China Has Lifted 358 00:15:28,519 --> 00:15:34,639 more people out of poverty than any 359 00:15:31,759 --> 00:15:38,880 country any regime in all human history 360 00:15:34,639 --> 00:15:40,600 in the past 30 years I suppose it's on 361 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:43,519 the principle that what goes up must 362 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:45,720 come down must it come down in China no 363 00:15:43,519 --> 00:15:49,160 definitely not there's no re it will 364 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:52,959 slow sight slightly the population is 365 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:55,720 aging that will reduce growth by one or 366 00:15:52,959 --> 00:15:59,560 2% a year but as long as it doesn't make 367 00:15:55,720 --> 00:16:02,000 stupid errors the structure of 368 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:03,319 its economy is more effective than the 369 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:07,399 structure of the 370 00:16:03,319 --> 00:16:10,519 West primarily the uh role of a very 371 00:16:07,399 --> 00:16:13,480 large State sector particularly State 372 00:16:10,519 --> 00:16:17,120 control over the banks and financial 373 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:20,440 systems uh so that coming out of the 374 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:23,680 financial crisis in 2008 China was in a 375 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:25,800 position to direct its banks to invest 376 00:16:23,680 --> 00:16:28,959 in order to restimulate the economy and 377 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:31,040 get it out of Crisis which the West 378 00:16:28,959 --> 00:16:34,959 pleaded with the banks to do this but 379 00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:37,079 had no control to make them do it um 380 00:16:34,959 --> 00:16:40,680 very high levels of investment in the 381 00:16:37,079 --> 00:16:43,199 economy high levels of savings so unless 382 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:46,720 China makes some suicidal 383 00:16:43,199 --> 00:16:49,000 mistake um and embarks on a vast program 384 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:50,279 of privatization of crucial sectors of 385 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:53,319 the economy 386 00:16:50,279 --> 00:16:57,279 or gives into Western pressure for a 387 00:16:53,319 --> 00:16:59,959 very large revaluation of the R&B or the 388 00:16:57,279 --> 00:17:02,160 various things that the West demands 389 00:16:59,959 --> 00:17:04,919 there's no reason why it can't maintain 390 00:17:02,160 --> 00:17:09,079 a slower but considerably faster level 391 00:17:04,919 --> 00:17:11,520 of growth than anything seen in the west 392 00:17:09,079 --> 00:17:14,319 it's not of course China's not alone 393 00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:16,839 Vietnam has also been growing rather 394 00:17:14,319 --> 00:17:19,600 strongly based on a similar economic 395 00:17:16,839 --> 00:17:22,640 structure but also if you look at the um 396 00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:24,799 the period of most success of Japan for 397 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:28,360 example it had very high investment 398 00:17:24,799 --> 00:17:30,480 levels which then came down and um it 399 00:17:28,360 --> 00:17:32,799 hit financial crisis plus a big 400 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:34,960 revaluation of the end so as long as 401 00:17:32,799 --> 00:17:36,960 China doesn't do any of these stupid 402 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:40,880 things which I believe are a product of 403 00:17:36,960 --> 00:17:42,360 capitalist free market economies then 404 00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:44,240 yeah you probably won't be surprised 405 00:17:42,360 --> 00:17:47,039 then that both of these demands were 406 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:48,799 being made at the H on Wifi by 407 00:17:47,039 --> 00:17:52,640 representatives of the very biggest 408 00:17:48,799 --> 00:17:55,360 banks and uh other uh businesses doing 409 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:59,919 well in their trade uh and investment 410 00:17:55,360 --> 00:18:02,640 with and in uh China instead China has 411 00:17:59,919 --> 00:18:07,919 made this turn hasn't it recently 412 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:11,919 announced uh to more uh if you like uh 413 00:18:07,919 --> 00:18:14,120 direction of capital to building up 414 00:18:11,919 --> 00:18:18,320 itself to building up demand within 415 00:18:14,120 --> 00:18:20,960 China less export driven more more 416 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:23,240 domestically oriented well it needs to 417 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:26,559 do that because World Trade is so 418 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:29,559 stagnant since the uh economic crisis 419 00:18:26,559 --> 00:18:31,440 there was virtually no growth in China's 420 00:18:29,559 --> 00:18:33,360 external trade in the first quarter of 421 00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:35,120 the year but this is not really a 422 00:18:33,360 --> 00:18:38,000 problem of China this is a problem of 423 00:18:35,120 --> 00:18:40,240 the world economy there is virtually 424 00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:43,080 there's no emergence from the great 425 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:46,520 stagnation at the level of the western 426 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:48,159 economies and so unless the Western 427 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:50,000 economies start to pick up and trade 428 00:18:48,159 --> 00:18:52,280 starts to pick up there's no one to 429 00:18:50,000 --> 00:18:54,600 export isn't that also partly due to the 430 00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:56,960 fact that many plans that used to be in 431 00:18:54,600 --> 00:19:00,480 China established with cheap labor has 432 00:18:56,960 --> 00:19:02,720 all moved to Vietnam others well China 433 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:06,039 is moving up the value chain what that 434 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:09,280 means is that wage levels in China are 435 00:19:06,039 --> 00:19:12,440 rising therefore is not the location of 436 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:15,840 choice for the most 437 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:17,960 lowlevel basic type of manufacturing but 438 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:19,400 at the same time China is moving up the 439 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:21,960 value chain and 440 00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:25,360 increasingly um attracting other types 441 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:28,760 of business which requires higher levels 442 00:19:25,360 --> 00:19:30,280 of technological it and other skills and 443 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:32,960 also developing its 444 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:35,799 own technology companies of course it's 445 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:38,360 not just the economy coming under Fire 446 00:19:35,799 --> 00:19:41,320 the demand that China should be more 447 00:19:38,360 --> 00:19:45,120 capitalist if it's going to continue to 448 00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:47,320 grow and Thrive uh but just in case some 449 00:19:45,120 --> 00:19:50,440 foreign policy issues and also some 450 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:52,480 internal ones are being dragged onto the 451 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:56,520 battlefield let's deal with the internal 452 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:59,520 one first in the sang Province where 40 453 00:19:56,520 --> 00:20:02,960 to 45% of the people are weor 454 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:05,960 Muslims uh there is a a terrorist 455 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:08,320 problem suicide bombings mass killings 456 00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:10,919 actually by these separatists and of 457 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:13,360 course a Chinese government Crackdown uh 458 00:20:10,919 --> 00:20:15,679 on them suddenly we're beginning to hear 459 00:20:13,360 --> 00:20:18,240 Western commentators discover a long 460 00:20:15,679 --> 00:20:20,679 lost Sympathy for the plight of the 461 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:23,080 Wagers China on the right lines in how 462 00:20:20,679 --> 00:20:25,640 it's handling this question there was a 463 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:28,200 an article in the New York Times today 464 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:30,559 or yesterday saying that the mess that's 465 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:33,559 been made of the situation in the Middle 466 00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:35,520 East is that alqaeda forces are 467 00:20:33,559 --> 00:20:39,200 spreading all over the 468 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:42,240 place um American intervention doesn't 469 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:47,159 defeat Al-Qaeda it just displaces and 470 00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:50,200 and encourages it it and you have 471 00:20:47,159 --> 00:20:52,880 and some that obviously China is 472 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:54,600 extremely worried as the Central Asian 473 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:58,120 republics are very worried of some 474 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:59,120 spillover of this type of uh development 475 00:20:58,120 --> 00:21:05,400 into 476 00:20:59,120 --> 00:21:08,400 to Jin Jang um it's taken a policy of 477 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:12,120 its policy from 2011 I think was I think 478 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:15,279 or 2010 was to direct very big levels of 479 00:21:12,120 --> 00:21:18,159 investment towards Jin Jang to try and 480 00:21:15,279 --> 00:21:20,919 grow The Province out of the problems 481 00:21:18,159 --> 00:21:23,400 but to some extent that's created more 482 00:21:20,919 --> 00:21:26,039 diff more problems 483 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:29,080 because there's been a lot of inflow of 484 00:21:26,039 --> 00:21:32,640 population because there's um 485 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:35,279 growth in business factories or mineral 486 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:37,559 extraction Etc and not all of those jobs 487 00:21:35,279 --> 00:21:41,000 have gone to the local 488 00:21:37,559 --> 00:21:43,320 people so there are some economic 489 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:45,440 grievances which China is trying to 490 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,919 address and bring a lot of effort into 491 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:51,440 but at the same time there's been an 492 00:21:46,919 --> 00:21:54,640 upsurge of you know quite horrible uh 493 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:58,320 knife attacks on people in 494 00:21:54,640 --> 00:22:00,520 um Crim are real ET so there there's a 495 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:05,559 there sort of stepped up security at the 496 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:08,320 St same time I just uh briefly alas uh 497 00:22:05,559 --> 00:22:13,039 China's border or territorial disputes 498 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:15,559 with Japan over Islands uh seems now to 499 00:22:13,039 --> 00:22:18,559 be being replicated in a conflict with 500 00:22:15,559 --> 00:22:22,360 Vietnam which is particularly sad for 501 00:22:18,559 --> 00:22:25,600 people of uh Our Generation uh what's 502 00:22:22,360 --> 00:22:27,480 the basis of that clash in with Vietnam 503 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:29,440 well remember there's bad blood and has 504 00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:31,200 been bad blood between China and Vietnam 505 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:34,080 for a long time which is a very sad 506 00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:35,840 thing and it is a product of a what was 507 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:39,360 an even sadder thing which was the whole 508 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:43,640 Soo Soviet conflict in the Cold War 509 00:22:39,360 --> 00:22:45,600 period um where China became very after 510 00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:49,159 falling out with Russia became very 511 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:54,799 fearful of being encircled by pro- 512 00:22:49,159 --> 00:22:58,200 Soviet um regimes the dispute with 513 00:22:54,799 --> 00:22:59,919 Vietnam is of long duration the it 514 00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:02,840 looked looked 515 00:22:59,919 --> 00:23:06,799 like it was got getting into a good 516 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:10,120 place Lea Jang visited Hanoi six months 517 00:23:06,799 --> 00:23:12,840 ago things have calmed down enormously 518 00:23:10,120 --> 00:23:17,480 over the last couple of years but then 519 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:20,480 China decided to start drilling for oil 520 00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:23,320 now on China's side on 521 00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:25,480 this everyone else is already drilling 522 00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:28,320 for oil the only country that wasn't 523 00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:30,720 drilling for oil in the disputed areas 524 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:33,559 was was China but 525 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:36,559 unfortunately either a misjudgment or a 526 00:23:33,559 --> 00:23:39,279 deliberate um Step by drilling where 527 00:23:36,559 --> 00:23:42,480 they chose to drill it was a straight 528 00:23:39,279 --> 00:23:44,799 flare up with Vietnam well let's hope 529 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:47,400 they can iron things out Jude Woodward I 530 00:23:44,799 --> 00:23:48,420 told you she was an expert thank you 531 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:51,000 very much 532 00:23:48,420 --> 00:23:54,200 [Music] 533 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:56,320 indeed and now it's your turn to tell us 534 00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:59,400 what you think through the portals of 535 00:23:56,320 --> 00:24:03,000 social media what's rattling gy well 536 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:05,360 about the Egyptian elections we asked 537 00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:07,960 well first it was Ukraine and now Egypt 538 00:24:05,360 --> 00:24:11,000 how does the West gets away with this 539 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:13,360 Eddie Bernard answers EU countries can't 540 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:16,360 think beyond the Yankee dollar and are 541 00:24:13,360 --> 00:24:20,760 us lap dogs they choose US policy before 542 00:24:16,360 --> 00:24:23,640 their own and Greg bin says too much too 543 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:26,600 often they call it selfdetermination a 544 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:29,880 unique brand of US foreign policy indeed 545 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:32,200 indeed it is yes but the med silence is 546 00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:34,559 uh more striking I keep saying This I 547 00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:37,480 Know Why the political leaders prefer 548 00:24:34,559 --> 00:24:39,840 General CeCe in charge because well they 549 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:43,240 pay him and he'll do what they want them 550 00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:45,279 to what I fail to understand is how all 551 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:48,360 these journalists hundreds of them in 552 00:24:45,279 --> 00:24:50,840 all countries are able to completely 553 00:24:48,360 --> 00:24:53,000 suspend judgment that they would 554 00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:55,760 normally be quick to make in other 555 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:58,720 circumstances so that uh you know a coup 556 00:24:55,760 --> 00:25:01,120 in Ukraine a coup in Egypt becomes 557 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:02,600 something that they welcome rather than 558 00:25:01,120 --> 00:25:04,799 condemn well that's why you're apply 559 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:07,279 describing as the media Echo chamber 560 00:25:04,799 --> 00:25:09,559 yeah on China we ask when they will put 561 00:25:07,279 --> 00:25:11,080 up their political weight in the world 562 00:25:09,559 --> 00:25:13,799 to which we received quite a lot of 563 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:16,039 hostile response on their domestic 564 00:25:13,799 --> 00:25:18,720 issues regarding human rights in some 565 00:25:16,039 --> 00:25:21,399 areas and of course it not being a 566 00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:23,720 democracy officially so will this be a 567 00:25:21,399 --> 00:25:26,159 Chinese Century to which Neil barington 568 00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:28,279 answers I think so went to a debate on 569 00:25:26,159 --> 00:25:30,360 that very subject and without a huge sec 570 00:25:28,279 --> 00:25:32,840 sacrifices of the Mao era would have 571 00:25:30,360 --> 00:25:33,679 never been possible well let's hope it's 572 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,000 a 573 00:25:33,679 --> 00:25:38,159 multi-polar uh Century that's what I'm 574 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:40,440 hoping for indeed and that's all we have 575 00:25:38,159 --> 00:25:42,520 time for which sadly means that's the 576 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:45,960 end of the show please do keep in touch 577 00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:48,200 with us on Twitter at rtor Sputnik and 578 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:50,919 please like us on Facebook at Sputnik on 579 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:52,960 Russia today goodbye from me gatri and 580 00:25:50,919 --> 00:25:55,960 from me George Galloway it's been 581 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,960 marvelous 582 00:25:57,020 --> 00:26:01,440 [Music] 583 00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:01,440 oh 584 00:26:02,300 --> 00:26:15,720 [Music]