1 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:17,639 Hey, I get 2 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:41,200 Welcome orbiting the world with me, 3 00:00:38,559 --> 00:00:43,920 George Galloway, and me, Gayatri. They 4 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:46,239 labored mightily and brought forth a 5 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:49,120 mouse. As Horus himself might have put 6 00:00:46,239 --> 00:00:52,079 it, about the much anticipated reshuffle 7 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:55,280 of Jeremy Corbin's four-month-old shadow 8 00:00:52,079 --> 00:00:57,600 cabinet. He felt he needed a reshuffle, 9 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:59,960 of course, and he did. Not least because 10 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:02,320 the first ones spent as much time 11 00:00:59,960 --> 00:01:04,720 undermining and even plotting against 12 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:07,439 his leadership as they did actually 13 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:09,920 performing as the official opposition. 14 00:01:07,439 --> 00:01:11,520 For me, Corbin has failed to remove a 15 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,600 raft of people he should never have 16 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:15,360 appointed in the first place, and for 17 00:01:13,600 --> 00:01:17,119 the same reasons he did appoint them in 18 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,960 the first place, fear of the 19 00:01:17,119 --> 00:01:21,200 consequences. The only change of 20 00:01:18,960 --> 00:01:24,320 substance was the appointment as shadow 21 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:27,040 defense minister of Emily Thornbury or 22 00:01:24,320 --> 00:01:30,000 Lady Nugi of Islington to give her her 23 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:32,560 proper title. She is apparently 24 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:34,479 allegedly an opponent of the renewal of 25 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:37,920 the super expensive Trident nuclear 26 00:01:34,479 --> 00:01:37,920 missile system. Although 27 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:47,040 I cold war chinless wonders wagging 28 00:01:43,680 --> 00:01:49,280 their non-existent chins and that's it. 29 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:51,680 Unless you include the sacking of a man, 30 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:54,079 Michael Duger, whom no one had ever 31 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:56,479 heard of from a job shadow culture 32 00:01:54,079 --> 00:01:58,640 secretary which no one knew he had in 33 00:01:56,479 --> 00:02:01,520 the first place. Joining us now to 34 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:03,840 discuss the state of play is former Tony 35 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:06,079 Blair aid and a man with his finger on 36 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:08,840 the pulse of the inner party struggle, 37 00:02:06,079 --> 00:02:11,599 John McTurnon. John, welcome back to 38 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:13,760 Sputnik. Last time you were here, you 39 00:02:11,599 --> 00:02:16,000 said there was no conspiracy because if 40 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:18,560 there was, you'd have been at it. There 41 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:20,800 was no candidate and there was no 42 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:23,599 project. Does all of that still hold? 43 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:25,520 That still that still stands except that 44 00:02:23,599 --> 00:02:27,599 Jeremy Corbin in the absence of an 45 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:30,640 opposition candidate to him has created 46 00:02:27,599 --> 00:02:33,440 one Hillary Ben. He has by choosing to 47 00:02:30,640 --> 00:02:35,040 brief against Hillary Ben saying he will 48 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:37,760 sack him and then backing down when 49 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:39,200 Hillary says I won't move or resign. He 50 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:41,360 strengthened Hillary. Hillary has gone 51 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,760 from somebody that people knew as a nice 52 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:45,040 guy into 53 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:47,840 being maybe the Clement Atley of the 54 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:50,319 Labor Party, the man who will replace um 55 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:52,800 the pacifist. Um well, that's an 56 00:02:50,319 --> 00:02:55,440 interesting comparison because uh uh 57 00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:58,879 he's definitely no Spartacus. I've known 58 00:02:55,440 --> 00:03:02,720 Hillary Ben for more than 30 years and 59 00:02:58,879 --> 00:03:05,159 he's no Spartacus. He's no Tony Ben. Uh 60 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:07,920 but he might be an Atly kind of 61 00:03:05,159 --> 00:03:10,080 centrist, rather dull figure. Maybe he 62 00:03:07,920 --> 00:03:13,200 could even start smoking his dad's pipe. 63 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:16,760 Uh because Hillary Ben's the only man to 64 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:20,000 emerge in this picture. None of the 65 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:22,879 other rebels either in or out of the 66 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:24,159 shadow cabinet are taller today than 67 00:03:22,879 --> 00:03:25,280 they were the last time we spoke. Well, 68 00:03:24,159 --> 00:03:26,720 I think the I think the other person 69 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:30,280 who's emerged with some dignity out of 70 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:32,239 the is Pat McFaden because Jeremy Corbin 71 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:34,080 extraordinarily told him why he was 72 00:03:32,239 --> 00:03:36,239 sacking him. He was sacking him for 73 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:38,799 saying that terrorists who kill people 74 00:03:36,239 --> 00:03:41,519 are responsible for their own actions. 75 00:03:38,799 --> 00:03:43,280 Now clearly that means that Jeremy 76 00:03:41,519 --> 00:03:44,640 thinks terrorists who kill people aren't 77 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,080 responsible for their own actions. And I 78 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:47,840 can't think of a single voter who agrees 79 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:50,000 with Jeremy on that. They all agree with 80 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:52,319 Pat McFaden who was doing a great job as 81 00:03:50,000 --> 00:03:54,640 Minister for Europe, but now standing as 82 00:03:52,319 --> 00:03:56,239 the great person who stands for 83 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,760 anti-terrorism, stands for national 84 00:03:56,239 --> 00:04:01,120 security in the Labor Party and was 85 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:02,959 sacked for it. Well, yeah. I mean, I I 86 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:04,879 knew Pat McFaden when he was a 87 00:04:02,959 --> 00:04:08,560 communist, and I've known him as a 88 00:04:04,879 --> 00:04:11,360 Celtic supporter since he was a boy. Uh, 89 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:13,799 and so I don't necessarily endorse the 90 00:04:11,360 --> 00:04:16,160 rest of what you said. But it begs a 91 00:04:13,799 --> 00:04:18,000 question, why does the leader have to 92 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,759 explain to people that he's sacking, why 93 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:22,079 he's sacking them, especially if the 94 00:04:19,759 --> 00:04:24,240 reason is one there's going to be rope 95 00:04:22,079 --> 00:04:26,880 to hang yourself with? Well, the 96 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:28,560 extraordinary thing is um the best ever 97 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:29,840 sacking was one of Atley's where a 98 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:31,280 minister said to him, "Why are you 99 00:04:29,840 --> 00:04:33,040 firing me?" And he looked at the 100 00:04:31,280 --> 00:04:35,759 minister and he said, "Not up to it." 101 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:37,360 And went back to his papers. That that 102 00:04:35,759 --> 00:04:39,560 is all you need to say as a leader. 103 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:42,000 That's all you need 104 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:43,919 to all you actually have to say is I'm 105 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:46,160 the leader of the party and I've decided 106 00:04:43,919 --> 00:04:49,680 that I want somebody else in your uh 107 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:52,320 position. Like uh Lady Nugi for example 108 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:54,639 uh this new shadow defense secretary. 109 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:58,320 What does she know about defense? What 110 00:04:54,639 --> 00:05:00,400 is what is what are her I think the 111 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:01,919 qualifications in in one sense nobody 112 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,840 has qualifications when they take up a 113 00:05:01,919 --> 00:05:06,639 job. They have to learn the job. The 114 00:05:03,840 --> 00:05:08,880 thing we do know is she doesn't like 115 00:05:06,639 --> 00:05:11,120 seeing the English flag, the George's 116 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:12,720 Cross. We know that I'm I'm looking 117 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:14,560 forward to the first time she goes on a 118 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:16,400 visit to see squatties in their barracks 119 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:18,240 where she take photographs of their 120 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:20,800 George's crosses standing above their 121 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:22,880 bunk beds and go, she doesn't like that 122 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:24,639 either. this there. You know, if you 123 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:28,840 wanted one thing to symbolize that 124 00:05:24,639 --> 00:05:28,840 Jeremy Corbin really doesn't 125 00:05:31,919 --> 00:05:35,360 rid of people from the north of England, 126 00:05:33,759 --> 00:05:37,120 from Yorkshire, replacing them with 127 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:38,560 somebody, another person from Isington. 128 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,880 It looks more and more like a dinner 129 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:42,720 party set, not a shadow cabinet. And 130 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:46,000 yet, the odd thing is she'd never have 131 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:47,600 Jeremy Corbin at her dinner parties. And 132 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:50,000 Jeremy Corbyn wouldn't go to dinner 133 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:52,000 parties. As we know from his first wife, 134 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:54,800 he preferred to eat beans cold out of a 135 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:57,600 tin whilst watching a political 136 00:05:54,800 --> 00:06:00,880 documentary. So Jeremy himself is not a 137 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:03,039 part of the Islington set. It's 138 00:06:00,880 --> 00:06:06,400 therefore all the more odd that he 139 00:06:03,039 --> 00:06:08,479 should give such a portfolio to Lady 140 00:06:06,400 --> 00:06:10,639 Nagi. But that then goes to this other 141 00:06:08,479 --> 00:06:13,280 question which is what is the picture 142 00:06:10,639 --> 00:06:15,360 that Jeremy wanted to to to to paint of 143 00:06:13,280 --> 00:06:17,840 himself and the party and the shadow 144 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:19,600 cabinet through this reshuffle. Normally 145 00:06:17,840 --> 00:06:21,039 you try and establish authority. He's 146 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:23,199 shown weakness in the face of Hillary 147 00:06:21,039 --> 00:06:25,840 Ben. Normally you want to show that 148 00:06:23,199 --> 00:06:27,680 you've got a kind of unity of talent. 149 00:06:25,840 --> 00:06:30,479 What you seem to have is a kind of unity 150 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:33,919 of mediocrity. Uh normally you want to 151 00:06:30,479 --> 00:06:37,199 set a direction but this was a reshuffle 152 00:06:33,919 --> 00:06:39,840 about defense, terrorism, security, 153 00:06:37,199 --> 00:06:41,680 foreign policy, Syria. Whereas the big 154 00:06:39,840 --> 00:06:43,600 issues in Britain are about domestic 155 00:06:41,680 --> 00:06:45,280 policy. They're about health, the junior 156 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,720 doctors. They're about flooding the 157 00:06:45,280 --> 00:06:48,240 environment. They're about capital 158 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:50,639 investment. They're about the railways. 159 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:52,000 They're about railfares. That's what's 160 00:06:50,639 --> 00:06:54,000 very strange about this. The 161 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,440 battleground should be domestic policy. 162 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:57,280 And what you've had is Jeremy showing 163 00:06:55,440 --> 00:07:00,319 this reshuffle. one, incompetence, but 164 00:06:57,280 --> 00:07:02,000 two, my real concern is to purify my 165 00:07:00,319 --> 00:07:04,080 shadow cabinet on issues of foreign 166 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,360 policy, defense, and security. They are 167 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:07,680 important, but they are not the 168 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:09,919 battleground for the next 18 months. I'm 169 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:12,319 wondering why they even need such big 170 00:07:09,919 --> 00:07:14,960 shadow teams. If you don't have enough 171 00:07:12,319 --> 00:07:17,520 people that you can depend on, trust, 172 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:20,080 and who are on the same line as you, 173 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:22,080 just shrink the team. We've now got a 174 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:25,840 situation where Sky News can describe 175 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:29,520 three resigning shadow junior ministers 176 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:31,280 as senior shadow junior ministers. I'm 177 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:34,720 not sure how you become one of those, 178 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:38,880 but uh um it seems to me that in a 179 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:41,120 situation where only 50 60 MPs are 180 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:44,160 really with the leader, why not just 181 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:46,319 make your team smaller? Well, there's a 182 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:48,240 big question about are there too many 183 00:07:46,319 --> 00:07:49,759 ministers in the government? the 184 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:52,160 government's the size it is because 185 00:07:49,759 --> 00:07:54,319 Cameron has created jobs in the cabinet 186 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:56,720 or attending cabinet to manage having 187 00:07:54,319 --> 00:07:58,080 enough women in the cabinet or to manage 188 00:07:56,720 --> 00:08:00,560 the politics of making sure Boris 189 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:03,919 Johnson can say he attends cabinet. Um 190 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:08,000 and then this kind of way of bloating up 191 00:08:03,919 --> 00:08:08,000 government to pay favors is being 192 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:18,720 used about the whole of Jeremy's 193 00:08:16,599 --> 00:08:20,400 operation. There doesn't appear to be 194 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:22,720 the discipline. Why if you're going to 195 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:24,240 sack people tell them for 3 weeks over 196 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:25,759 Christmas when there's no other news? 197 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:28,160 You're going to sack them. Let them 198 00:08:25,759 --> 00:08:31,599 prepare. If you want to sack somebody, 199 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:32,800 make it a surprise. um just tell them on 200 00:08:31,599 --> 00:08:34,080 the morning they come back to work, 201 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:36,959 sorry, you're fired on clearing your 202 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:38,959 desk. It's there's a there's for 203 00:08:36,959 --> 00:08:40,360 somebody who's surrounded by people who 204 00:08:38,959 --> 00:08:42,959 come 205 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:45,760 from an organized end of the left of the 206 00:08:42,959 --> 00:08:47,600 Labor Party, they're very disorganized. 207 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:51,279 Well, that's interesting. What happens 208 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:53,839 now, John? Um no candidate, maybe 209 00:08:51,279 --> 00:08:58,160 Hillary Ben emerging as one, no real 210 00:08:53,839 --> 00:09:00,720 project, uh and no real hazardous belly. 211 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:03,279 There's no no immediate trip wire that's 212 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:05,279 going to provoke a move. Do you 213 00:09:03,279 --> 00:09:08,760 therefore think that we're we're stuck 214 00:09:05,279 --> 00:09:12,080 in in this now until 2020? 215 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:15,279 Well, you may be the trip wire the Kaz 216 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:16,959 belly. Uh if you become mayor of London, 217 00:09:15,279 --> 00:09:19,200 uh I think a defeat in London for 218 00:09:16,959 --> 00:09:21,120 Sadique Khan would be a very bad thing 219 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:23,920 for Jeremy Corbin. London is a labor 220 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:26,160 city. London moved Labor in 2015 even 221 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:28,480 despite the defeat uh in the general 222 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:30,720 election. To lose London again to 223 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:34,000 somebody as weak as Zach Goldsmith would 224 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:36,080 be very bad for Corbin. I think Trident 225 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:39,680 may be a trigger. What's happened is 226 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:41,839 Hillary Ben is stronger. What if Corbyn 227 00:09:39,680 --> 00:09:44,320 tries to impose before conference a 228 00:09:41,839 --> 00:09:46,480 change in policy on Trident? That will 229 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:48,480 then lead to a big rupture inside the 230 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:50,160 the cabinet, the shadow cabinet. The 231 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,760 vote on Trident, well, it's in the hand 232 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:53,519 it's in the hands of the Tory 233 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:54,720 government. Uh they should have had it 234 00:09:53,519 --> 00:09:56,399 in the last parliament, but the Liberal 235 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,680 Democrats wouldn't allow it. So they'll 236 00:09:56,399 --> 00:10:00,160 have it at the point at which they'll 237 00:09:57,680 --> 00:10:02,000 cause the maximum mischief. The reason 238 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,920 Corbyn can't bring it to conference is 239 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,920 that Unite have got a conference policy 240 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:08,080 in favor of Trident because they employ 241 00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:09,920 the workers in Barrow who who build the 242 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:12,720 boats and they employ workers uh in 243 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:15,040 Fazlane who maintain the boats. 244 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:17,680 So Trident could be Trident Trid Trident 245 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:19,680 could be erupted because why would Len 246 00:10:17,680 --> 00:10:22,079 McCcluskey want to go against his own 247 00:10:19,680 --> 00:10:23,760 conference and his own members to back a 248 00:10:22,079 --> 00:10:25,920 man he didn't even want to be the leader 249 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:27,519 of the Labour party Jeremy Corbin and 250 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:29,920 it's it's these things which are 251 00:10:27,519 --> 00:10:31,440 unforced errors uh appointing Hillary 252 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,440 Ben was a sort of damic lead as I think 253 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,680 you've said 254 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:37,920 before not sacking 255 00:10:34,680 --> 00:10:41,279 him is strengthening him and it gives an 256 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:43,440 issue trident on which Ben is in line 257 00:10:41,279 --> 00:10:46,640 with not just the public, not just the 258 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:50,000 PLP, but Labor Party policy. And so if 259 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:52,000 you give uh somebody this chance to 260 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:54,560 campaign to defend Labor Party policy 261 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:56,399 against the leader, that is a flash 262 00:10:54,560 --> 00:10:59,320 point. That's a potential flash point. 263 00:10:56,399 --> 00:11:02,240 And again, there'll be you going to sack 264 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:04,560 me? Are you going to keep me and then 265 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:07,440 say there's conditions to me staying? I 266 00:11:04,560 --> 00:11:08,800 think that's the problem. The FL There 267 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,560 probably is no long there's no there's 268 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:13,120 no candidate yet, but maybe Hillary. 269 00:11:10,560 --> 00:11:15,839 There's no project yet, but maybe it is 270 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:17,760 um going to emerge. Some people are 271 00:11:15,839 --> 00:11:20,880 doing some thinking uh on the moderate 272 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:22,640 side. Um this year, this year, this year 273 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:24,240 will be interesting. Well, it's going to 274 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:26,680 be interesting not just in the Labor 275 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:30,560 Party. I know that's 276 00:11:26,680 --> 00:11:33,600 your but uh the latest poll on European 277 00:11:30,560 --> 00:11:35,839 Union referendum indicates that there 278 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:38,640 might be from the European Union, which 279 00:11:35,839 --> 00:11:42,560 you and I know will open a new uh front 280 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:44,560 in Scotland. uh but will also open a 281 00:11:42,560 --> 00:11:47,120 chasm into which David Cameron would be 282 00:11:44,560 --> 00:11:49,519 bound to fall. I would have thought so 283 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:51,680 2016 284 00:11:49,519 --> 00:11:53,120 going to be a very momentous year. Yeah, 285 00:11:51,680 --> 00:11:54,800 it's going to be a fascinating year from 286 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:57,040 that point of view because there are 287 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:59,839 tensions and ruptures in both part both 288 00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:02,160 major parties and the only space in 289 00:11:59,839 --> 00:12:04,880 which they uh which the success of the 290 00:12:02,160 --> 00:12:06,800 Tory government is implementing Blareite 291 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:09,279 policies in education and health. 292 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:11,760 They're working fine. everywhere else is 293 00:12:09,279 --> 00:12:13,920 kind of the mess of Europe or the mess 294 00:12:11,760 --> 00:12:16,399 of universal credit or the mess of the 295 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:18,160 cuts and infrastructure and flooding or 296 00:12:16,399 --> 00:12:19,600 there's no safe I mean there's no safe 297 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,040 ground for for David Cameron throughout 298 00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,800 this whole year and we could be looking 299 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:25,760 at something very different in this time 300 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:28,880 next year in uh 2017. Well, uh it could 301 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:31,440 be uh cataclysmic for the British state 302 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:34,560 coming out of Europe, then breaking up 303 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:37,160 with Scotland uh voting finally for to 304 00:12:34,560 --> 00:12:40,720 join the Europe, uh separation on the 305 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:42,240 grounds of Europe, uh challenges to the 306 00:12:40,720 --> 00:12:43,920 Labour leader, challenges to the 307 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:46,160 Conservative leader. We're not going to 308 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:47,360 go out of business anytime soon. This is 309 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:49,600 full employment for political 310 00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:52,720 commentators. Thanks very much for 311 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:55,279 coming on board this book, John McTurn. 312 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:57,440 Coming up next, are we on the brink of a 313 00:12:55,279 --> 00:13:00,000 war in the Middle East between Iran and 314 00:12:57,440 --> 00:13:03,360 Saudi Arabia? Time to sit up and take 315 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:03,360 notice after the 316 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:10,880 break. Welcome back. Following the 317 00:13:08,959 --> 00:13:13,120 burning down of the Saudi consulate in 318 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:16,000 Mashhat and the partial destruction of 319 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:18,480 the Saudi embassy in Thran, Saudi Arabia 320 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:21,360 has broken diplomatic relations with 321 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:23,920 Iran. a move which has been aped by 322 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:26,560 almost all of its Gulf allies. The 323 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:28,560 proximate cause is of course the attacks 324 00:13:26,560 --> 00:13:31,040 on their diplomatic property, a crime 325 00:13:28,560 --> 00:13:34,480 under international law. But Saudi 326 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:37,920 Arabia anticipated that when it beheaded 327 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:39,920 47 men in a single day, New Year's Day, 328 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:43,200 one of them, the most senior Shia cleric 329 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:46,000 in Saudi Arabia, Sheh Nimmer al- Nimmer. 330 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:48,480 And behind that are the proxy wars being 331 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:50,880 fought in Syria and Yemen between the 332 00:13:48,480 --> 00:13:53,760 two regional giants. And behind that is 333 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:55,920 the age-old struggle for if not the soul 334 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:58,800 then at least the direction of the 335 00:13:55,920 --> 00:14:01,519 Muslim world. Joining us to discuss this 336 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:04,000 is Sami Ramadani of London Metropolitan 337 00:14:01,519 --> 00:14:06,959 University, an Iraqibborn political 338 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:10,160 activist and expert. Sammy, thanks for 339 00:14:06,959 --> 00:14:13,519 joining us again on the Sputnik. The war 340 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:17,279 of words and diplomatic uh withdrawals 341 00:14:13,519 --> 00:14:20,480 and dismissals uh is one thing. Uh but 342 00:14:17,279 --> 00:14:22,320 in Yemen, we have the real possibility 343 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:26,160 following the alleged bombing of the 344 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:29,199 Iranian embassy by Saudi jets that this 345 00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:32,639 war of words can become a war of fire 346 00:14:29,199 --> 00:14:36,399 and lead. uh ever since the new king uh 347 00:14:32,639 --> 00:14:40,320 assumed power in last January it's it's 348 00:14:36,399 --> 00:14:43,360 his anniversary year uh this January uh 349 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:46,720 Saudi Arabia has taken on a different 350 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:50,079 much more open much more aggressive uh 351 00:14:46,720 --> 00:14:52,480 uh role historically the Saudi royal 352 00:14:50,079 --> 00:14:55,040 family has always been discreet in its 353 00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:58,560 role very important role politically 354 00:14:55,040 --> 00:15:00,320 financially and so on but discreet they 355 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:02,959 don't want to hit the headlines 356 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:06,639 But with the arrival of the new monarch 357 00:15:02,959 --> 00:15:09,920 and the ousting of the previous uh 358 00:15:06,639 --> 00:15:14,160 princes and princesses from power, this 359 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:16,320 new Saudi uh faction of the royal family 360 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:18,399 has decided to go all out in terms of 361 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:21,680 the attack on Yemen, in terms of 362 00:15:18,399 --> 00:15:24,959 insisting on regime change in Syria and 363 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:27,440 so forth. And uh Iran is not a country 364 00:15:24,959 --> 00:15:31,040 that takes such things lying down. Uh, 365 00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:33,920 is there going to be uh an actual 366 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:36,000 outbreak, you think, of of hot war? I 367 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:37,839 think unless the Saudis are stupid 368 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:40,800 enough to attack Iran, I don't think 369 00:15:37,839 --> 00:15:44,240 Iran will escalate to the extent of 370 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:46,480 having an all-out war. I mean any 371 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:48,720 observer of the political scene in the 372 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:50,720 Middle East would have noticed that Iran 373 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:54,639 over several years now have been trying 374 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:57,279 very hard to reach some sort of a a a 375 00:15:54,639 --> 00:16:01,519 concordant or some sort of an agreement 376 00:15:57,279 --> 00:16:03,600 with the Saudi uh uh rulers but they 377 00:16:01,519 --> 00:16:06,160 made a little bit of progress under King 378 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:08,759 Abdullah and that has been blown us 379 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:11,720 under with the arrival of Kingdom 380 00:16:08,759 --> 00:16:15,839 suspended indefinitely. It was thought 381 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:19,360 the beheading of the Shia cleric Nimal 382 00:16:15,839 --> 00:16:22,480 Nimmer, but the new king went ahead in 383 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:25,040 this night of the long swords on uh on 384 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:28,240 New Year's Day. My big question to you 385 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:30,560 is this. Is this authorized or not? I'm 386 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:33,040 working on the assumption that Saudi 387 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:34,880 Arabia is a client state of the United 388 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,720 States of America even though the 389 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:41,440 financial relationship is the other way 390 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:44,560 around. Uh so is Saudi Arabia doing what 391 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:48,480 it's doing in Syria, in Yemen, and now 392 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:51,199 internally and visav Iran with United 393 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:53,199 States approval or not? I think the 394 00:16:51,199 --> 00:16:55,920 United States is playing a dual game 395 00:16:53,199 --> 00:16:58,079 with Iran. This is my assessment of the 396 00:16:55,920 --> 00:17:01,759 situation. On the one hand, they have 397 00:16:58,079 --> 00:17:04,959 reached the nuclear deal um and they 398 00:17:01,759 --> 00:17:07,760 appear to be pushing towards a rapo with 399 00:17:04,959 --> 00:17:11,199 Iran. But on the other hand, and this is 400 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:15,280 decisive, I think Iran remains 401 00:17:11,199 --> 00:17:18,000 strategically outside US control and US 402 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:21,520 uh influence and the United States has 403 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:24,720 not given up their strategy of having 404 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:27,120 regime change in Iran. And if regime re 405 00:17:24,720 --> 00:17:28,960 regime change doesn't come through war 406 00:17:27,120 --> 00:17:30,960 direct war which would have been 407 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:33,440 impossible because of the strength of 408 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:37,440 Iran because following the Iraq 409 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:40,320 occupation uh there was some talk of an 410 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:42,400 attack on Iran. And when the Israelis 411 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:44,640 two years ago started saying they will 412 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:46,880 attack Iran, Iran immediately says any 413 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:48,480 Israeli attack will be an open war with 414 00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:50,640 the United States. And this is when 415 00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:53,760 obviously the United States decided to 416 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:56,720 deescalate and reach eventually uh the 417 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,720 nuclear deal. 418 00:17:56,760 --> 00:18:02,720 But a powerful state in the region, the 419 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:05,280 only state from the Russian borders to 420 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:07,679 the to the to Algeria which is strong 421 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:10,799 enough to oppose US policies in the 422 00:18:07,679 --> 00:18:14,080 region. Iran remains a stumbling block 423 00:18:10,799 --> 00:18:18,559 for US control of the entire Middle East 424 00:18:14,080 --> 00:18:21,039 and beyond. So and regime change policy 425 00:18:18,559 --> 00:18:24,720 I think is still in place but it's 426 00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:26,799 happening through proxies and the Saudi 427 00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:29,200 role in that sense fits in I think 428 00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:31,760 within that scenario. I want to go 429 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:34,880 further into the actual execution of the 430 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:36,799 sheh. Go ahead. He's uh been executed 431 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:39,760 wide protest around the world obviously 432 00:18:36,799 --> 00:18:42,080 mostly among the Shia communities. His 433 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:44,559 nephew it is. Yeah. Is now on death row 434 00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:47,600 as well. What's going teenager facing 435 00:18:44,559 --> 00:18:50,160 crucifixion? Absolutely. For attending a 436 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:52,960 rally on corruption of the governments. 437 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:54,720 Yes. So what's what's going to happen? I 438 00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:57,919 think domestically 439 00:18:54,720 --> 00:19:00,720 uh within Saudi Arabia there is an 440 00:18:57,919 --> 00:19:04,960 intense conflict within the royal family 441 00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:07,840 and that conflict became really uh 442 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:11,679 surprisingly in the open once King 443 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:16,240 Salman took over power and last January 444 00:19:11,679 --> 00:19:19,679 last year and his immediate act was to 445 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:22,320 purge uh King Abdullah's wing if you 446 00:19:19,679 --> 00:19:25,679 like faction of the royal family and 447 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:28,960 this is not a tensy minor type of 448 00:19:25,679 --> 00:19:32,720 faction very powerful faction within the 449 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:36,160 royal family and I think one of the 450 00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:38,559 propelling reasons force the Saudis to 451 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:41,280 act in this aggressive way is to paper 452 00:19:38,559 --> 00:19:43,840 over this serious crack within the royal 453 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:46,480 family Saudi Arabia is a real paradox 454 00:19:43,840 --> 00:19:49,039 though isn't it at one in the same time 455 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:51,520 it is best friends with America it is 456 00:19:49,039 --> 00:19:54,880 warming up its relations Even with 457 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:58,559 Israel, albeit on a semi secret level, 458 00:19:54,880 --> 00:20:00,720 right? It is a major customer of western 459 00:19:58,559 --> 00:20:02,799 weapons and so on. It has all its money 460 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:06,080 in the banks of the United States and so 461 00:20:02,799 --> 00:20:08,960 on. And yet it is the fountain head of 462 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:12,320 the most extreme interpretation of 463 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:15,840 Islam, this Wahhabist ideology, uh, 464 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:18,240 which has spawned al-Qaeda and later 465 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:20,799 ISIS. That's right. Uh, how does it 466 00:20:18,240 --> 00:20:23,520 manage to walk that tight rope? 467 00:20:20,799 --> 00:20:26,320 I think the tight rope appears to be 468 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:29,919 such a narrow tight trope but in reality 469 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:33,600 it's not. Saudi Arabia was given license 470 00:20:29,919 --> 00:20:36,080 by the United States post World War II. 471 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:38,320 Uh obviously we all know about Saudi 472 00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:40,559 financial power and the importance of 473 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:42,559 oil to the west and to the United States 474 00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:45,039 and so on. But one thing that needs to 475 00:20:42,559 --> 00:20:48,000 be also examined is the political role 476 00:20:45,039 --> 00:20:51,120 of Saudi Arabia that was envisaged by 477 00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:52,880 previous former US presidents starting 478 00:20:51,120 --> 00:20:55,120 significantly with Truman, President 479 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:57,320 Truman and followed on by President 480 00:20:55,120 --> 00:21:00,760 Eisenhower uh 481 00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:03,679 1953 onwards. And Eisenhower in his 482 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:06,080 memoirs stresses the important political 483 00:21:03,679 --> 00:21:10,080 role of Saudi Arabia and how he himself 484 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:12,559 suggested to the Saudi king that Saudi 485 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:14,799 Arabia should play a big leading role in 486 00:21:12,559 --> 00:21:17,400 the Islamic world by actually 487 00:21:14,799 --> 00:21:20,640 establishing a worldwide Islamic 488 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:24,559 organization. Um obviously Wahhabism 489 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:28,960 that you mentioned it's uh it is a a 490 00:21:24,559 --> 00:21:31,360 small small small minority of uh Sunnis 491 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:34,480 in the world. It has been the financial 492 00:21:31,360 --> 00:21:36,880 power of the Saudis in terms of 493 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:39,559 spreading in little pamphlets, not even 494 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:42,799 the Quran, in little pamphlets, this 495 00:21:39,559 --> 00:21:46,000 extremely socially backward, anti-women, 496 00:21:42,799 --> 00:21:48,400 anti-child, you name it. And they tried 497 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:51,520 post World War II with the encouragement 498 00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:54,400 of the United States to oppose primarily 499 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:56,400 socialist movements and progressive 500 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:59,760 secular movements and nationalist 501 00:21:56,400 --> 00:22:02,400 movements. These were, if you like, the 502 00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:04,720 dreaded enemies of US control of the 503 00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:07,039 region, western control of the region in 504 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:09,840 general. And the Saudis were given 505 00:22:07,039 --> 00:22:12,960 enormous leeway in terms of spreading 506 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:15,360 this reactionary thought as opposed to 507 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:17,600 the any chance of progressive 508 00:22:15,360 --> 00:22:19,760 development, democratic development 509 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:22,320 especially within the Middle East and 510 00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:26,840 the environment, Pakistan for example. 511 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:30,559 So this Saudi role acquired a new 512 00:22:26,840 --> 00:22:32,720 dimension after the occupation of Iraq 513 00:22:30,559 --> 00:22:35,039 and previous to that the occupation of 514 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,880 Afghanistan where Saudi Arabia was 515 00:22:35,039 --> 00:22:39,600 financially backing al-Qaeda and 516 00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:44,240 Afghanistan and later on terrorist 517 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:46,000 organizations within Iraq to to in 518 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:48,159 effect what the Saudis were doing were 519 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:50,799 weakening the resistance to occupation 520 00:22:48,159 --> 00:22:52,320 by encouraging these sectarian 521 00:22:50,799 --> 00:22:55,039 organizations. 522 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:57,919 eventually terrorist organizations which 523 00:22:55,039 --> 00:23:00,799 fragmented the Iraqi people's opposition 524 00:22:57,919 --> 00:23:02,799 to occupation and resistance occupation 525 00:23:00,799 --> 00:23:05,440 and on Syria as soon as the United 526 00:23:02,799 --> 00:23:08,400 States made public regime change policy 527 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:10,400 the Saudis and the Qataries moved in. In 528 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:12,640 terms of the political forces in the 529 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,640 region, the Saudis historically, 530 00:23:12,640 --> 00:23:17,280 especially post World War II, relied on 531 00:23:14,640 --> 00:23:19,840 the Muslim Brotherhood very heavily. 532 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:21,840 From the beginning of the 1990s, they 533 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:24,799 stopped funding the Muslim Brotherhood. 534 00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:27,039 Qatar took over and Qatar became the 535 00:23:24,799 --> 00:23:29,440 main finance of the Muslim Brotherhood. 536 00:23:27,039 --> 00:23:31,520 The new king, King Salman, and this is 537 00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:33,919 important to watch, has reversed that. 538 00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:37,120 He's an old friend of the brotherhood. 539 00:23:33,919 --> 00:23:39,679 Now the Saudis have uh rembraced the 540 00:23:37,120 --> 00:23:43,480 Muslim Brotherhood and are relying on 541 00:23:39,679 --> 00:23:45,840 them to be to act like before as a 542 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:49,200 political political movement with some 543 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:50,960 grassroots I must uh say whether uh 544 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:54,280 across across the Middle East and in 545 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:58,080 Turkey as well. And this new new 546 00:23:54,280 --> 00:24:01,120 strategy harks back to post World War II 547 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:03,360 uh political activity of uh of the 548 00:24:01,120 --> 00:24:06,320 Saudis especially after the failure of 549 00:24:03,360 --> 00:24:08,320 the Salafi and so on that they tried to 550 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:10,960 encourage as opposed to the brotherhood 551 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:13,919 and their Qatar masters. Now they are 552 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:16,559 back in the fold with the Saudis and the 553 00:24:13,919 --> 00:24:19,039 Saudis are playing uh this role and you 554 00:24:16,559 --> 00:24:21,520 are right to point out that uh that the 555 00:24:19,039 --> 00:24:23,840 United States is not far off this the 556 00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:27,360 war on Yemen would have been impossible 557 00:24:23,840 --> 00:24:29,679 without without your support. Well um if 558 00:24:27,360 --> 00:24:31,279 if hot war breaks out we might have to 559 00:24:29,679 --> 00:24:32,880 bring you back next week but that's 560 00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:34,799 okay. I hope it doesn't I hope it 561 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:38,919 doesn't. I hope it doesn't. Thanks very 562 00:24:34,799 --> 00:24:38,919 much. Well, Sami Ramadani. 563 00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:43,760 And now it's your turn to tell us what 564 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:45,840 you think through the portals of social 565 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:48,279 media. What's rattling guy? Well, big 566 00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:51,679 changes in the Labour party this week, 567 00:24:48,279 --> 00:24:54,000 huh? Speak to me of truth says, "A few 568 00:24:51,679 --> 00:24:56,480 rotten apples fell from the tree. Maybe 569 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:58,799 it sends the right message." And Pleti 570 00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:01,520 says, "Well, despite this all, Jeremy 571 00:24:58,799 --> 00:25:04,640 Corbin has, in my opinion, an admirable 572 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:06,720 inner strength." uh the Saudi Arabia 573 00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:09,520 Iran matter in the on the other hand 574 00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:12,480 Assaf Bay says that Saudi Arabia will 575 00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:15,039 end up with belly up and Muhammad Saman 576 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:17,039 says well an already screwed up Middle 577 00:25:15,039 --> 00:25:20,320 East will get further screwed up because 578 00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:22,720 of the lack of leadership quality well 579 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:26,080 from the Atlantic to the Gulf the Arab 580 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:27,919 world is totally messed up that's alas 581 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:29,919 all that we've got time for this week 582 00:25:27,919 --> 00:25:31,840 which means unfortunately that's the end 583 00:25:29,919 --> 00:25:33,640 of the show you can stay in touch with 584 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:36,159 us though on Twitter at 585 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:37,840 RT_Sputnick and on Facebook Sputnik on 586 00:25:36,159 --> 00:25:40,159 Russia Today. It's goodbye from me, 587 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:43,559 Gayatri, and from me, George Galloway. 588 00:25:40,159 --> 00:25:43,559 It's been marvelous.