1 00:00:00,730 --> 00:00:06,219 [Music] 2 00:00:09,630 --> 00:00:12,769 [Music] 3 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:16,280 I 4 00:00:28,430 --> 00:00:31,489 [Music] 5 00:00:34,480 --> 00:00:39,399 welcome to Sputnik orbiting the world 6 00:00:36,480 --> 00:00:41,879 with me George Galloway and me gatri the 7 00:00:39,399 --> 00:00:44,000 Cascade towards a return of reaction in 8 00:00:41,879 --> 00:00:47,640 Latin America appears to have been 9 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:51,239 halted albeit by a whisker in Peru the 10 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:55,399 former dictator's daughter Kiko fujimori 11 00:00:51,239 --> 00:00:58,239 pulled 49% and more but narly lost the 12 00:00:55,399 --> 00:01:00,920 presidency to mainstream conservative 13 00:00:58,239 --> 00:01:03,199 Pedro Pablo Kosinski 14 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:05,519 but with the results so narrow how long 15 00:01:03,199 --> 00:01:07,680 before fujimori supporters begin to 16 00:01:05,519 --> 00:01:10,759 challenge the result and mobilize the 17 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:13,000 street power undoubtedly at her disposal 18 00:01:10,759 --> 00:01:15,000 and what will the Army do and what is it 19 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:17,759 about dictatorship which seems to be 20 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:20,400 coming back into fashion who better to 21 00:01:17,759 --> 00:01:23,560 talk us through than Peruvian analyst 22 00:01:20,400 --> 00:01:25,520 and super journalist Isaac bigo Isaac 23 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,680 thanks for coming on the Sputnik three 24 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:29,960 questions there will she accept the 25 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:32,200 result what will the Army do and what 26 00:01:29,960 --> 00:01:34,240 what is it about her brand of right-wing 27 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:37,119 politics that appears to be coming back 28 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:39,000 into fashion well the first question is 29 00:01:37,119 --> 00:01:40,960 at the moment the difference is only 30 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:46,079 40,000 31 00:01:40,960 --> 00:01:49,360 votes the count is now n is is almost 32 00:01:46,079 --> 00:01:50,880 almost 100% it's very few votes to be 33 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:54,799 counted 34 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:57,320 so Kinski is going to be Proclaim 35 00:01:54,799 --> 00:02:01,560 president there is a possibility that 36 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:04,640 kimori would call for a recount of the 37 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:08,119 vote but at the moment she has not 38 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:10,440 accepted the results some people from 39 00:02:08,119 --> 00:02:13,959 her party are 40 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:17,480 mobilizing people in the street is 41 00:02:13,959 --> 00:02:20,760 claiming that this is a fra however the 42 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:25,280 left and the union said that fujimori 43 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:27,480 always make frauds in 2000 he make fraud 44 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:29,640 this was our father his the Father the 45 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:32,200 father make fraud and he was completely 46 00:02:29,640 --> 00:02:34,920 the showed that he was was a fraud so he 47 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:37,120 has to resign from the presidency and in 48 00:02:34,920 --> 00:02:41,599 this time there have been a lot of 49 00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:45,599 accusation that when in many Village 50 00:02:41,599 --> 00:02:47,720 they changed the boat so at the moment 51 00:02:45,599 --> 00:02:51,400 we don't know if she's going to accept 52 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:54,200 or not your second question was about 53 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:57,720 the Army at the moment the Army has not 54 00:02:54,200 --> 00:03:00,400 been doing nothing but we don't know 55 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:02,879 what they are going to do I think at the 56 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:06,680 moment the Army said whatever the 57 00:03:02,879 --> 00:03:08,840 national election decide we will support 58 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:11,640 but we don't know because this 59 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:14,080 government soala is used to be a 60 00:03:11,640 --> 00:03:17,519 military I don't know if he's going to 61 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:21,519 accept if ujimori won for a narrow vote 62 00:03:17,519 --> 00:03:23,560 and with fra at the moment the election 63 00:03:21,519 --> 00:03:25,680 is in favor of kusinski I don't think 64 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:28,560 there nothing going to 65 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:32,000 change now thanks to your material that 66 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:35,080 I have read it seems that Fuji Mor 67 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:37,959 though a figure of the right had Mass 68 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:40,920 support amongst the very poorest the 69 00:03:37,959 --> 00:03:43,200 Shante Town dwellers and the the poor 70 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:46,640 masses how does that come to pass this 71 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:50,200 is very interesting because in Lima The 72 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:53,920 Shanti towns that surround the center of 73 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:58,319 the capital used to be the the basis of 74 00:03:53,920 --> 00:04:01,239 the left but now they vote IM V vote for 75 00:03:58,319 --> 00:04:04,079 fujimori and the people that vote for 76 00:04:01,239 --> 00:04:09,920 Kinski was in the middle class and right 77 00:04:04,079 --> 00:04:13,000 wing and upper class suburbs or areas so 78 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:15,560 why they are popular because first she 79 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:19,280 give money to everybody she give money 80 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:22,360 she gave a lot of little s second 81 00:04:19,280 --> 00:04:26,080 because during his during fujimori 82 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:30,919 government in the 19 1990 to 2000 83 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:34,440 fujimori made a lot of er roads 84 00:04:30,919 --> 00:04:38,440 and medical post and the most important 85 00:04:34,440 --> 00:04:41,639 scene fujimori defeat shining P which he 86 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:44,120 was accused as a terrorist threat no now 87 00:04:41,639 --> 00:04:46,680 K fujimon said as my father defeated 88 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:49,840 terrorist I'm going to defeat crime and 89 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:52,680 crime is terrible the problem is that 90 00:04:49,840 --> 00:04:55,840 she can defeat Street crime but she's 91 00:04:52,680 --> 00:05:01,120 going to put a lot of criminals in power 92 00:04:55,840 --> 00:05:04,280 because um many of her most 93 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:06,520 closest supporters have been accused of 94 00:05:04,280 --> 00:05:10,080 being linked with the narc traffic and 95 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:12,880 in a lot of corruption scandals so but 96 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:15,759 people that the most poor people believe 97 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:18,360 that she can defeat crime no another 98 00:05:15,759 --> 00:05:23,680 argument is that the other candidate 99 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:26,319 kusinski is a gringo he a US citizen 100 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:30,120 he's has been a banker he's a member of 101 00:05:26,319 --> 00:05:34,720 all the banking institution and he's a 102 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:36,360 very rich man so she's Japanese yeah she 103 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,960 is 104 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:40,880 Peruvian with a 105 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:42,440 Japanese 106 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:46,120 grandparents 107 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:48,680 uh she she was born in Peru no and and 108 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:52,280 so the supporters of fimor they include 109 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:57,240 indigenous yeah 110 00:05:52,280 --> 00:06:01,280 um no she had most of the supportive 111 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:05,199 amongst ER yes she has indigenous people 112 00:06:01,280 --> 00:06:07,520 but most of her support are the poor 113 00:06:05,199 --> 00:06:11,919 people in The Shanti 114 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:14,400 towns they and poor people in some rural 115 00:06:11,919 --> 00:06:16,120 areas but she is not a candid of the 116 00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:17,759 indigenous population seems they don't 117 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:21,720 have a candidate there's one from 118 00:06:17,759 --> 00:06:24,120 Japanese EXT one Japanese and one yes 119 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:26,759 very interesting that in many areas like 120 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:30,440 puno which is the AAR region by the 121 00:06:26,759 --> 00:06:33,120 tiaka lake there was a lot of n v like 122 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:35,960 10 12 15% of the votes they didn't 123 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:38,560 believe in both any of the candidates 124 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:40,199 the interesting thing is the the South 125 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:42,800 which is the more indigenous part of 126 00:06:40,199 --> 00:06:44,759 Peru which is where the ketos and Mar 127 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:47,120 lived most of the South supported 128 00:06:44,759 --> 00:06:50,639 kuchinski against fujimori because the 129 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:53,720 left said the worst enemy is is fujimori 130 00:06:50,639 --> 00:06:56,199 no so the left back the mainstream 131 00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:58,680 conservative the I will tell you 132 00:06:56,199 --> 00:07:01,039 something the only reason why kuchinski 133 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:03,000 won is because Al the vote of the 134 00:07:01,039 --> 00:07:05,199 left I there is something very 135 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:07,479 interesting in the Peruan election in 136 00:07:05,199 --> 00:07:09,759 most of the elections the main the most 137 00:07:07,479 --> 00:07:12,440 the the main meetings the main 138 00:07:09,759 --> 00:07:15,240 demonstration the main rallies are in 139 00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:17,160 supporting one candidate in Peru in the 140 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:19,319 first round and the second round the 141 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:22,000 main demonstration was against K 142 00:07:19,319 --> 00:07:24,960 fujimori there were more than 100,000 143 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:26,720 people in the street before she was 144 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:29,720 before the first round and also before 145 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:32,160 the second round against fujimori in 146 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:33,919 every important city even in London we 147 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:37,960 did a demonstration 148 00:07:33,919 --> 00:07:40,479 so so people from the left wanted to 149 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:41,520 stopi this would be a bit like uh the 150 00:07:40,479 --> 00:07:44,080 left in 151 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:47,879 France uh putting their way in the final 152 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:49,759 ballot behind uh sarosi against Leen 153 00:07:47,879 --> 00:07:51,919 Leen also 154 00:07:49,759 --> 00:07:54,680 representing uh an increasing 155 00:07:51,919 --> 00:07:57,440 disturbingly large number of the very 156 00:07:54,680 --> 00:08:00,360 poorest people most marginal people in 157 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:02,479 France uh except for the the immigrants 158 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:05,639 of course who are her 159 00:08:02,479 --> 00:08:09,479 scapegoats uh but some of the same if 160 00:08:05,639 --> 00:08:13,360 you like brown shirt politics storite 161 00:08:09,479 --> 00:08:15,879 politics anti- capitalist anti-me but 162 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:17,199 actually being composed of capitalists 163 00:08:15,879 --> 00:08:19,400 and 164 00:08:17,199 --> 00:08:23,720 criminals there are some similarity 165 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:26,879 between Leen and fujimori because it's K 166 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:28,599 fujimori is the daughter of Alberto 167 00:08:26,879 --> 00:08:31,360 fujimori who used to be a dictator 168 00:08:28,599 --> 00:08:34,279 dictator and is the only former 169 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:38,320 president that has been extralite and is 170 00:08:34,279 --> 00:08:41,240 in jail and you know in in France you 171 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:44,360 have Leen daughter and Leen father but 172 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:46,519 there is a difference in France Leen has 173 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:48,839 never been in power and all the 174 00:08:46,519 --> 00:08:51,800 right-wing parties said we don't want to 175 00:08:48,839 --> 00:08:54,200 deal with lean while in Peru fujimori 176 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:56,720 had been in power 16 years ago he 177 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:59,120 control a lot of the judges and have a 178 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:02,200 lot of influence in the Electoral court 179 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:05,079 and in the previous election in 2011 180 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:07,079 kuchinski openly supported Kiko vuim 181 00:09:05,079 --> 00:09:09,680 Mori saying that she was she was going 182 00:09:07,079 --> 00:09:12,399 to do a marvelous government and honest 183 00:09:09,680 --> 00:09:15,839 government and her father defeated 184 00:09:12,399 --> 00:09:19,320 terrorism and hyperinflation so in 185 00:09:15,839 --> 00:09:22,880 reality it's not like Shak and Leen 186 00:09:19,320 --> 00:09:26,839 because kusinski is more conservative 187 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:29,600 was supported fuimo in the past no now 188 00:09:26,839 --> 00:09:32,640 how does this fit into the bigger l 189 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:36,920 American picture we have a return of the 190 00:09:32,640 --> 00:09:39,600 Old Guard in Brazil we have the leftist 191 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:42,640 government in Venezuela in big trouble 192 00:09:39,600 --> 00:09:47,079 we had a defeat for the peronists in 193 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:49,160 Argentina uh we have it seems a creeping 194 00:09:47,079 --> 00:09:52,519 return to reaction how does this fit 195 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:54,959 into that picture well at the same time 196 00:09:52,519 --> 00:09:56,880 that the we have this problem in Peru we 197 00:09:54,959 --> 00:09:59,480 have the situation in Brazil but is in 198 00:09:56,880 --> 00:10:02,959 Brazil we have a new government which is 199 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:05,440 is deeply unpopular two of its Minister 200 00:10:02,959 --> 00:10:07,279 has been resigned because of accusation 201 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:11,279 of corruption there are more other 202 00:10:07,279 --> 00:10:14,440 minister that are going to resign is so 203 00:10:11,279 --> 00:10:18,040 perhaps the right wind cou the T in 204 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:22,959 Brazil is not going to work very very 205 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:25,760 much ER in the case of Venezuela yes 206 00:10:22,959 --> 00:10:28,800 it's more likely to be a referendum but 207 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:30,360 even in the case that the Maduro lost 208 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:33,160 but because I think the referendum is 209 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:36,120 going to be at the end of the year or 210 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:39,079 beginning of the the other year we are 211 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:40,959 going to have a a chavista government 212 00:10:39,079 --> 00:10:44,360 because the deputy president is going to 213 00:10:40,959 --> 00:10:46,399 replace him so there is a is a return of 214 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:49,360 the reaction but I will tell you 215 00:10:46,399 --> 00:10:52,639 something in the case of Peru there is 216 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:55,920 also the growth of the left the left has 217 00:10:52,639 --> 00:10:58,240 been completely smash since 1990 when 218 00:10:55,920 --> 00:11:01,480 fujimori took power he destroyed the 219 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:03,760 left now is the first time that the left 220 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:07,639 achieved more than 20% of the votes in 221 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:10,399 Peru in fact was about 22 222 00:11:07,639 --> 00:11:13,120 25% so the left is growing in Peru 223 00:11:10,399 --> 00:11:14,720 another time is the second they have the 224 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:19,600 second group in the 225 00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:21,480 Parliament and so we and I see that you 226 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:24,839 ask me about this the politic of the 227 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:27,079 streets fujimi is not winning the street 228 00:11:24,839 --> 00:11:29,600 is the opposite there's a lot of anti 229 00:11:27,079 --> 00:11:31,639 Fuji moras in the street and this move 230 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:35,880 mass movement is going to grow so I 231 00:11:31,639 --> 00:11:38,000 think that in Peru the left have a 232 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:40,880 position of growing and growing and 233 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:44,360 growing what about the ultra left you 234 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:47,240 mentioned them earlier the uh cero 235 00:11:44,360 --> 00:11:50,760 luminosa The Shining path maest 236 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:53,360 guerillas commandante Gonzalo and all of 237 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:56,440 that are they just history 238 00:11:53,360 --> 00:12:00,480 now well this is one of the most shame 239 00:11:56,440 --> 00:12:04,399 shameful guerillas that I ever no 240 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:09,160 because in Ireland or in B country or 241 00:12:04,399 --> 00:12:11,880 in guillas then become very popular 242 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:13,519 parties no they have been elected in 243 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:18,639 Salvador and in 244 00:12:13,519 --> 00:12:21,160 Nicaragua but in Peru Shin impa the only 245 00:12:18,639 --> 00:12:23,800 slogan that they have now is amnesty for 246 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:25,560 fujimori for the paramilitary for all 247 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:29,199 the people that kill people because we 248 00:12:25,560 --> 00:12:31,360 also want to have charman Gonzalo free 249 00:12:29,199 --> 00:12:34,079 so they they don't have any kind of 250 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:35,160 support they are completely isolated 251 00:12:34,079 --> 00:12:37,920 they don't come to the mass 252 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:40,199 demonstration fujimori they have a small 253 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:44,399 party which tried to 254 00:12:40,199 --> 00:12:46,680 become legalized was not legalized which 255 00:12:44,399 --> 00:12:49,079 so they are very very isolated they not 256 00:12:46,680 --> 00:12:50,720 in this picture at all no not at all 257 00:12:49,079 --> 00:12:53,800 they they don't have arms they don't 258 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:56,440 have they don't have a mass movement 259 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:58,760 they don't have weapons they only have 260 00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:01,240 few militants going here and there 261 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:03,000 that's all know they they they are gone 262 00:13:01,240 --> 00:13:05,839 well we we must have you back to keep 263 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:09,480 our watching brief on Latin American 264 00:13:05,839 --> 00:13:12,120 Events thanks for joining us on the spck 265 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:15,160 coming up next it's Lord Martin Ree a 266 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:17,600 lord a baron and an astrophysicist on 267 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:19,839 the joys to come of a world of robots 268 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:19,839 stay 269 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:28,560 tuned welcome back to Sputnik the TV 270 00:13:25,680 --> 00:13:30,279 series humans depicts a world where the 271 00:13:28,560 --> 00:13:33,399 middle class class at least have 272 00:13:30,279 --> 00:13:35,519 artificial intelligence in every home 273 00:13:33,399 --> 00:13:37,399 and not just an intelligent dishwasher 274 00:13:35,519 --> 00:13:39,760 either they have the full monty of 275 00:13:37,399 --> 00:13:42,360 glamorous robotic opars who cook your 276 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:45,480 dinner and bring up your children and 277 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:48,199 like Hal in Stanley Kubrick's 2001 A 278 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:50,680 Space Odyssey it all goes wrong when the 279 00:13:48,199 --> 00:13:53,800 robot's artificial intelligence begins 280 00:13:50,680 --> 00:13:56,160 to develop a mind of its own well we are 281 00:13:53,800 --> 00:13:59,320 honored to have on board the Sputnik the 282 00:13:56,160 --> 00:14:02,440 world's most eminent cosmologist and as 283 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:05,040 physicist Lord Martin Reese former 284 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:07,920 president of the Royal Society and the 285 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:10,920 astronomer Royal it is an honor 286 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:13,160 Professor you Astound me I've listened 287 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:17,079 to a lot of your talks your 288 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:19,360 preoccupations are so well astronomic 289 00:14:17,079 --> 00:14:23,240 compared to my own and I wish we had an 290 00:14:19,360 --> 00:14:28,000 hour to talk to you but let's focus on 291 00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:30,959 artificial intelligence first is this 292 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:34,000 just a kind of development of all mod 293 00:14:30,959 --> 00:14:37,800 cons a dishwasher a vacuum cleaner a 294 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:38,839 washing machine a robot or is it a 295 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:41,240 Quantum 296 00:14:38,839 --> 00:14:43,519 Leap first let me say I worry as much 297 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:46,399 about everyday matters as anyone else 298 00:14:43,519 --> 00:14:47,720 despite my Cosmic preoccupations but I 299 00:14:46,399 --> 00:14:50,000 think there are exciting things 300 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:52,480 happening in what's called generalized 301 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:55,000 machine learning we used to robots 302 00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:58,160 they've taken over lot of factory work 303 00:14:55,000 --> 00:15:00,560 etc um but what's happening now is that 304 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:03,320 they can Digest lot of information and 305 00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:05,120 they can actually learn how to do things 306 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:08,519 without being taught in detail Let me 307 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:10,959 Give an example um 20 years ago um a 308 00:15:08,519 --> 00:15:13,440 machine beat Casper off the world chess 309 00:15:10,959 --> 00:15:16,040 champion that was a great achievement 310 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:19,440 but the machine was programmed by expert 311 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:22,160 chess player just a couple of months ago 312 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:24,680 another machine run by a company here in 313 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:27,120 London called Deep Mind beat the world 314 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:29,040 champion at the game of Go a Chinese 315 00:15:27,120 --> 00:15:31,440 game which is thought to be even deeper 316 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:34,880 and more difficult than chess the 317 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:37,920 difference was that that computer wasn't 318 00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:40,519 told the rules in detail it learned by 319 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:43,480 watching millions of games and playing 320 00:15:40,519 --> 00:15:46,000 against itself and it made moves that 321 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:49,800 amazed even expert players so it's now 322 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:52,600 possible by just brute crunching of huge 323 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:53,880 amounts of data for machines to learn 324 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:57,600 without being taught and the same thing 325 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:59,880 has been used in machine translation um 326 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:03,360 old type translation was very good 327 00:15:59,880 --> 00:16:05,839 whereas now if you give machines a 328 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:08,560 billion not a million pages of stuff to 329 00:16:05,839 --> 00:16:10,000 read they use EU documents the machines 330 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:11,319 never get bored they just read that 331 00:16:10,000 --> 00:16:14,440 stuff and when they've read a billion 332 00:16:11,319 --> 00:16:16,480 Pages they can translate and this is a 333 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:18,160 new technique which is possible because 334 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:20,440 computer so powerful and I think what 335 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:22,519 this means is that the robots we're 336 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:25,079 talking about the ones you had your 337 00:16:22,519 --> 00:16:27,360 introduction they will exist um but 338 00:16:25,079 --> 00:16:29,079 what's going to be more interesting is 339 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:31,480 that machines will take over more 340 00:16:29,079 --> 00:16:34,680 intellectual work I think they will take 341 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:37,279 over the work of lawyers um doctors both 342 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:39,399 for Diagnostics and surgery the jobs 343 00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:42,720 they won't take over incidentally are 344 00:16:39,399 --> 00:16:44,399 jobs like um uh yours and mine well I 345 00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,839 don't know I don't M but I meant things 346 00:16:44,399 --> 00:16:48,360 like being a plumber and being a 347 00:16:45,839 --> 00:16:50,120 gardener they'd be harder to automate 348 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:51,920 and uh I think obviously the economic 349 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:53,440 consequence of all this as I'm sure 350 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:55,440 you'd agree is that we've got to make 351 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:58,000 sure that the uh money earned by the 352 00:16:55,440 --> 00:17:00,120 robots doesn't go to a small Elite but 353 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:03,680 is redistributed so as to provide 354 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:05,880 dignified jobs as carers gardeners in 355 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:08,120 public parks custodians teachers 356 00:17:05,880 --> 00:17:10,199 assistants Etc uh who will be given 357 00:17:08,120 --> 00:17:12,319 dignified and secure Employments using 358 00:17:10,199 --> 00:17:15,559 the resources made available by the 359 00:17:12,319 --> 00:17:18,360 robots well that's a very important 360 00:17:15,559 --> 00:17:21,480 Point all of those were but Henry Ford 361 00:17:18,360 --> 00:17:24,280 told his workers the United Auto Workers 362 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:27,799 of America uh more than half a century 363 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:29,679 ago I could replace you all and uh I 364 00:17:27,799 --> 00:17:32,160 could make my cars with robots and the 365 00:17:29,679 --> 00:17:35,520 union answered in that case who will buy 366 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:38,039 the cars if no one has work and wages 367 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:40,720 then the the product of these uh uh 368 00:17:38,039 --> 00:17:42,280 robots cannot be uh purchased but given 369 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:45,720 that we live in the kind of world we do 370 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:48,160 live in where the elite are 371 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:50,320 increasingly uh consolidating their 372 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:52,880 wealth few people own more than half of 373 00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:56,679 the wealth in the whole world it's more 374 00:17:52,880 --> 00:18:00,760 likely isn't it that the workers are 375 00:17:56,679 --> 00:18:02,559 going to be laid off by by the new 376 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:04,559 intelligence artificial intelligence 377 00:18:02,559 --> 00:18:06,280 that's coming on board yeah well even 378 00:18:04,559 --> 00:18:07,880 just to add on that the Obama 379 00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:10,120 Administration when they first made 380 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:12,760 their uh Research into this they did 381 00:18:10,120 --> 00:18:15,799 come out with a finding that 80% of 382 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:18,520 workers who earn less than $20 an hour 383 00:18:15,799 --> 00:18:19,799 would be able to be replace um well that 384 00:18:18,520 --> 00:18:21,880 may happen but as I say that is 385 00:18:19,799 --> 00:18:25,400 something where uh there's a need for 386 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:28,200 redistribution to ensure they're well 387 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:30,760 supported nonetheless um John mayard KES 388 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:33,120 in the 19 30s talked about a world where 389 00:18:30,760 --> 00:18:35,880 no one worked more than 15 hours a week 390 00:18:33,120 --> 00:18:38,320 and that hasn't come um but if it comes 391 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:40,600 then we should uh perhaps welcome it 392 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:43,200 some will have shuddered I'm not a lder 393 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:45,679 in any sense some will have shuddered 394 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:49,840 though at the Amazing Story you just 395 00:18:45,679 --> 00:18:52,200 told about the computer learning itself 396 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:55,320 how to play things this is the beginning 397 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:57,960 is it not of the Quantum Leap to from 398 00:18:55,320 --> 00:19:00,000 from rubbish in rubbish out as they used 399 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:03,159 to say about computers to something 400 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:05,320 different um it is I mean how it's clear 401 00:19:03,159 --> 00:19:07,919 the direction of travel is going to be 402 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:10,520 towards computers with a bigger range of 403 00:19:07,919 --> 00:19:12,960 human capabilities uh how long that will 404 00:19:10,520 --> 00:19:15,559 take we don't know of course although 405 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:18,520 they can surpass humans in many respects 406 00:19:15,559 --> 00:19:20,840 robots are very primitive compared to us 407 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:23,000 for instance uh although they can play 408 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:24,520 chess a championship level you can't 409 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:26,640 make a robot that can move the pieces on 410 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:28,400 a real chessboard as adeptly as a 411 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:30,400 5-year-old kid can so there's a long way 412 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:32,679 to go before they can do all the things 413 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,080 we can but of course nonetheless many 414 00:19:32,679 --> 00:19:36,880 people and I know some of the people in 415 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:40,000 this field feel it's not premature to 416 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:42,120 have guidelines for these developments 417 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:44,400 just as we need them for biotech to 418 00:19:42,120 --> 00:19:47,000 ensure that uh they don't go Rogue as it 419 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:49,520 were because other there clearly are 420 00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:52,559 these scenarios in movies and science 421 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:54,960 fiction which are looking not quite so 422 00:19:52,559 --> 00:19:59,919 far away from reality these days well I 423 00:19:54,960 --> 00:20:04,640 saw 2001 A Space Odyssey in the 197 424 00:19:59,919 --> 00:20:07,559 seemed very long and I watched 425 00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:10,440 go the great computer that was powering 426 00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:12,720 the ship began to question the uh 427 00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:16,280 decisions being made by the humans and 428 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:18,520 eventually of course disaster uh ensued 429 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:20,600 uh is that a possibility that a computer 430 00:20:18,520 --> 00:20:23,640 in that sense can develop a mind of its 431 00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:25,960 own make moral judgments well it's a 432 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:27,480 possibility and of course uh uh the 433 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,520 guidelines suggest that if we are going 434 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:32,640 to develop these computers we've got to 435 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:34,799 somehow ensure that they have the right 436 00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:36,559 sort of moral sense and that's hard 437 00:20:34,799 --> 00:20:38,240 maybe they can learn it by looking at us 438 00:20:36,559 --> 00:20:39,960 but of course the morals are G will 439 00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:42,799 depend on who they look at that 440 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:44,679 won't depend who they were studying yes 441 00:20:42,799 --> 00:20:46,919 but but the other point is that um even 442 00:20:44,679 --> 00:20:48,919 if you try and give them uh uh 443 00:20:46,919 --> 00:20:51,080 guidelines even the robot you have in 444 00:20:48,919 --> 00:20:53,200 your kitchen uh then they don't have 445 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:55,200 common sense to give a simple examples 446 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:57,200 much quoted uh you have your robot 447 00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:59,440 that's supposed to keep the fridge uh 448 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:01,640 full up Etc and you come home and 449 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:03,919 there's no meat uh then it'll put the 450 00:21:01,640 --> 00:21:06,679 cat in the oven you see because it won't 451 00:21:03,919 --> 00:21:08,120 realize that that's a different uh 452 00:21:06,679 --> 00:21:10,080 concept and we don't do that sort of 453 00:21:08,120 --> 00:21:12,440 thing so you've got to realize that all 454 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:15,240 these things that we've grown up to 455 00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:17,240 accept as uh obvious uh need to be 456 00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:19,440 programmed into a computer or it has to 457 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:21,159 learn by watching millions of people and 458 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:23,000 that's going to be the problem if the 459 00:21:21,159 --> 00:21:26,120 computers become too autonomous but I 460 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:30,360 think uh there is one context and you 461 00:21:26,120 --> 00:21:32,000 mentioned Hal in 2001 when where robots 462 00:21:30,360 --> 00:21:34,919 ought to be given free reign and that is 463 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:36,960 in space because uh uh although man 464 00:21:34,919 --> 00:21:39,200 space flight is a great achievement the 465 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:41,360 uh uh the Russian cosmonauts and the 466 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:43,240 Americans who landed on the moon I think 467 00:21:41,360 --> 00:21:45,320 the Practical case for sending people 468 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,640 into space is getting weaker all the 469 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:49,559 time as the robots get better and I 470 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:52,559 think humans may go as an adventure just 471 00:21:49,559 --> 00:21:56,080 like they climb Everest Etc but I think 472 00:21:52,559 --> 00:21:58,080 the future of space lies with uh um huge 473 00:21:56,080 --> 00:22:01,120 robotic Fabricators making things in 474 00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:03,880 space um and uh robots exploring the 475 00:22:01,120 --> 00:22:07,880 solar system they can do this uh as well 476 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:12,000 as humans and Far Far cheaper you said 477 00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:15,159 in one of your magnificent talks that uh 478 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:17,440 that we we've got six billion years to 479 00:22:15,159 --> 00:22:20,559 go before 6 and a half I think before 480 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:24,679 The Sun Burns Out which will be the end 481 00:22:20,559 --> 00:22:27,960 of uh of the earth uh but you also made 482 00:22:24,679 --> 00:22:29,279 the point which reverberates in my mind 483 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:31,679 that 484 00:22:29,279 --> 00:22:35,000 the people or or or rather the life that 485 00:22:31,679 --> 00:22:37,400 will be on earth 6 and a half billion 486 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:41,919 years from now will be as different from 487 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:44,520 us as we are from bacteria this 488 00:22:41,919 --> 00:22:46,240 fascinates me this idea what will it be 489 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,240 in your in your well we don't know I 490 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,480 think that's important and this is 491 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:52,559 perhaps one perspective that astronomers 492 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:54,400 bring because most people apart from uh 493 00:22:52,559 --> 00:22:56,640 creationists and people in Kansas and 494 00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,919 the Muslim world uh know that we're the 495 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,000 outcome of four billion years of 496 00:22:57,919 --> 00:23:01,000 evolution 497 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:03,279 but most people somehow think we are the 498 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:06,039 culmination we are the end of we believe 499 00:23:03,279 --> 00:23:08,000 in evolution but we we say that God must 500 00:23:06,039 --> 00:23:09,400 have designed it well we need we need to 501 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:11,960 believe that but I think many people who 502 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:14,039 are happy with naturalistic Evolution 503 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:16,360 still think that we humans are the end 504 00:23:14,039 --> 00:23:19,120 they don't realize that as you just 505 00:23:16,360 --> 00:23:21,200 implied we're not even the halfway stage 506 00:23:19,120 --> 00:23:24,320 and that there will be future Evolution 507 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:26,279 um of uh postum entities here on Earth 508 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:29,200 and far beyond and the key question 509 00:23:26,279 --> 00:23:30,760 really is whether they will be a organic 510 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,960 with the kind of wet Hardware we have 511 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:35,120 inside our skulls or whether they'll be 512 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:37,960 electronic I think the latter I think we 513 00:23:35,120 --> 00:23:41,600 may be quite near already the um 514 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:44,320 capacity uh which can be uh uh hardwar 515 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:45,640 by the sort of wet stuff in our skulls 516 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,919 and therefore I think it will be the 517 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:49,480 machines that take over and they will 518 00:23:47,919 --> 00:23:51,120 have as you said billions of years ahead 519 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:53,559 of them and that incidentally has 520 00:23:51,120 --> 00:23:56,440 another implication which is that if uh 521 00:23:53,559 --> 00:23:58,559 we find evidence for extraterrestrial 522 00:23:56,440 --> 00:24:01,120 life intelligent life out in space which 523 00:23:58,559 --> 00:24:05,080 some people are looking for then what we 524 00:24:01,120 --> 00:24:07,520 may find is far more likely to be a uh 525 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:10,679 robotic and electronic than organic 526 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:12,880 because uh if we imagine that the 527 00:24:10,679 --> 00:24:15,159 evolution on some distant planet tracked 528 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,799 what happened on Earth then you get four 529 00:24:15,159 --> 00:24:19,400 billion years of evolution and then 530 00:24:16,799 --> 00:24:21,279 intelligence emerged and Technology but 531 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:24,000 then the machines take over and they 532 00:24:21,279 --> 00:24:26,080 have billions of years ahead so if there 533 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:27,360 is intelligence out there it's probably 534 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:30,760 already in 535 00:24:27,360 --> 00:24:32,399 machines told you he was astounding I 536 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:35,159 want to talk to you about the parallel 537 00:24:32,399 --> 00:24:38,880 universe ideas but we don't have time to 538 00:24:35,159 --> 00:24:41,960 do it uh on this occasion Lord Reese 539 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:45,230 professor and astronomer Royal thank you 540 00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:47,080 very much for joining us 541 00:24:45,230 --> 00:24:49,640 [Music] 542 00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:51,320 thank and now it's your turn to tell us 543 00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:53,760 what you think through the portals of 544 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:56,200 social media what's ratling G so on the 545 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:58,559 super intriguing topic of artificial 546 00:24:56,200 --> 00:25:00,760 intelligence whether it's a savior or a 547 00:24:58,559 --> 00:25:03,080 threat to humanity Wayne Mack for 548 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:05,159 Palestine says they've said for years 549 00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:08,039 that new tech will free up our leisure 550 00:25:05,159 --> 00:25:10,799 time yet it doesn't and Ricardo Picasso 551 00:25:08,039 --> 00:25:12,520 says don't forget that robot means slave 552 00:25:10,799 --> 00:25:16,159 what if those powerful intelligent 553 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:19,039 machines found out well that's because 554 00:25:16,159 --> 00:25:21,760 the the sociology doesn't match the 555 00:25:19,039 --> 00:25:25,720 technology the technology is Advanced 556 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:27,520 the sociology is well less than Advanced 557 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:29,480 well that's all the tweet for today 558 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:31,279 which alas means that's all we've got 559 00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:34,320 time for but you can stay in touch with 560 00:25:31,279 --> 00:25:36,480 us through Twitter and rtor Sputnik on 561 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:38,640 Facebook Sputnik on Russia today it's 562 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:42,720 goodbye from me gatri and from me George 563 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:42,720 Gallow it's been marvelous 564 00:25:52,590 --> 00:25:55,650 [Music]